Morocco enters the 2026 World Cup amid significant injury disruptions and a coaching transition that have compressed expectations around an early knockout exit versus deeper progress. Key absences including Nayef Aguerd and Abdessamad Ezzalzouli, plus fitness doubts for Achraf Hakimi and Noussair Mazraoui, have thinned defensive and attacking options ahead of the Group C opener against Brazil. The new manager faces a difficult draw featuring Scotland and Haiti, testing whether the squad can replicate the defensive organization and counter-attacking threat that carried them to the 2022 semifinals. Traders see comparable probabilities for Round of 32 elimination and further advancement, reflecting the narrow gap between injury-limited potential and historical resilience in a competitive group.