The extreme rarity of matches generating 19 or more yellow cards underpins the 92% implied probability against breaking the 18-card benchmark from the 2022 Argentina-Netherlands quarterfinal. Such totals typically require a unique mix of heated rivalry, physical intensity, questionable officiating, and knockout stakes that produce frequent fouls and dissent, conditions that have not materialized in the early 2026 group stage despite expanded fields and occasional red-card spikes. FIFA's yellow-card reset rules after the group stage and quarterfinals further discourage reckless accumulation by reducing long-term suspension risks, while improved VAR protocols and referee training tend to limit mass bookings compared with historical outliers. Recent form across opening fixtures shows average card counts well below record thresholds, reinforcing trader consensus that only exceptional late-tournament circumstances could close the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,011 거래량
$10,011 거래량
2026.07.20
$10,011 거래량
$10,011 거래량
2026.07.20
Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022).
This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extreme rarity of matches generating 19 or more yellow cards underpins the 92% implied probability against breaking the 18-card benchmark from the 2022 Argentina-Netherlands quarterfinal. Such totals typically require a unique mix of heated rivalry, physical intensity, questionable officiating, and knockout stakes that produce frequent fouls and dissent, conditions that have not materialized in the early 2026 group stage despite expanded fields and occasional red-card spikes. FIFA's yellow-card reset rules after the group stage and quarterfinals further discourage reckless accumulation by reducing long-term suspension risks, while improved VAR protocols and referee training tend to limit mass bookings compared with historical outliers. Recent form across opening fixtures shows average card counts well below record thresholds, reinforcing trader consensus that only exceptional late-tournament circumstances could close the gap.
Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022).
This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 8, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
거래량
$10,011종료일
2026.07.20마켓 개설일
Jun 8, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022).
This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extreme rarity of matches generating 19 or more yellow cards underpins the 92% implied probability against breaking the 18-card benchmark from the 2022 Argentina-Netherlands quarterfinal. Such totals typically require a unique mix of heated rivalry, physical intensity, questionable officiating, and knockout stakes that produce frequent fouls and dissent, conditions that have not materialized in the early 2026 group stage despite expanded fields and occasional red-card spikes. FIFA's yellow-card reset rules after the group stage and quarterfinals further discourage reckless accumulation by reducing long-term suspension risks, while improved VAR protocols and referee training tend to limit mass bookings compared with historical outliers. Recent form across opening fixtures shows average card counts well below record thresholds, reinforcing trader consensus that only exceptional late-tournament circumstances could close the gap.
Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022).
This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$10,011종료일
2026.07.20마켓 개설일
Jun 8, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The extreme rarity of matches generating 19 or more yellow cards underpins the 92% implied probability against breaking the 18-card benchmark from the 2022 Argentina-Netherlands quarterfinal. Such totals typically require a unique mix of heated rivalry, physical intensity, questionable officiating, and knockout stakes that produce frequent fouls and dissent, conditions that have not materialized in the early 2026 group stage despite expanded fields and occasional red-card spikes. FIFA's yellow-card reset rules after the group stage and quarterfinals further discourage reckless accumulation by reducing long-term suspension risks, while improved VAR protocols and referee training tend to limit mass bookings compared with historical outliers. Recent form across opening fixtures shows average card counts well below record thresholds, reinforcing trader consensus that only exceptional late-tournament circumstances could close the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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