South Africa's strong CAF qualifying campaign, topped by an 18-point finish ahead of Nigeria, secured their first World Cup berth since 2010 and underpins modest expectations for progress. However, the draw into Group A alongside co-host Mexico, South Korea, and Czechia creates a steep challenge, reinforced by their 2-0 opening loss to Mexico and mixed recent form including an AFCON 2025 round-of-16 exit. Traders price group-stage elimination at 81.5% as the consensus outcome given Bafana Bafana’s 60th-ranked status, limited depth, and historical group-stage exits in prior appearances, while deeper runs remain long shots at under 4% each.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트World Cup: South Africa Stage of Elimination
Group Stage 82%
Round of 32 10%
Round of 16 7%
Quarterfinals 2.9%
Group Stage
82%
Round of 32
10%
Round of 16
7%
Quarterfinals
3%
Semifinals
2%
Final
2%
Champion
1%
Group Stage 82%
Round of 32 10%
Round of 16 7%
Quarterfinals 2.9%
Group Stage
82%
Round of 32
10%
Round of 16
7%
Quarterfinals
3%
Semifinals
2%
Final
2%
Champion
1%
If South Africa is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by South Africa based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 7, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If South Africa is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by South Africa based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...South Africa's strong CAF qualifying campaign, topped by an 18-point finish ahead of Nigeria, secured their first World Cup berth since 2010 and underpins modest expectations for progress. However, the draw into Group A alongside co-host Mexico, South Korea, and Czechia creates a steep challenge, reinforced by their 2-0 opening loss to Mexico and mixed recent form including an AFCON 2025 round-of-16 exit. Traders price group-stage elimination at 81.5% as the consensus outcome given Bafana Bafana’s 60th-ranked status, limited depth, and historical group-stage exits in prior appearances, while deeper runs remain long shots at under 4% each.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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