Spain enters the 2026 World Cup with a deep, talented squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Rodri, Pedri, and other Euro 2024 standouts under Luis de la Fuente, which supports the market's 17% implied probability for a title run and 14.5% for semifinals. Recent injury recoveries and a favorable Group H draw against Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay reduce the chance of an early group-stage exit to just 2.9%. Trader consensus around a round-of-16 or quarterfinal exit reflects the competitive nature of the expanded knockout bracket, where strong European and South American sides create realistic barriers despite Spain's recent form and roster quality.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Round of 32 21%
Round of 16 20%
Champion 17%
Semifinals 15%
신규
신규
2026.07.19
Round of 32
21%
Round of 16
20%
Champion
17%
Semifinals
15%
Quarterfinals
14%
Final
11%
Group Stage
3%
Round of 32 21%
Round of 16 20%
Champion 17%
Semifinals 15%
신규
신규
2026.07.19
Round of 32
$6,443 거래량
21%
Round of 16
$188 거래량
20%
Champion
$229 거래량
17%
Semifinals
$1,532 거래량
15%
Quarterfinals
$523 거래량
14%
Final
$174 거래량
11%
Group Stage
$631 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain enters the 2026 World Cup with a deep, talented squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Rodri, Pedri, and other Euro 2024 standouts under Luis de la Fuente, which supports the market's 17% implied probability for a title run and 14.5% for semifinals. Recent injury recoveries and a favorable Group H draw against Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay reduce the chance of an early group-stage exit to just 2.9%. Trader consensus around a round-of-16 or quarterfinal exit reflects the competitive nature of the expanded knockout bracket, where strong European and South American sides create realistic barriers despite Spain's recent form and roster quality.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 5, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
거래량
$9,720종료일
2026.07.19마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain enters the 2026 World Cup with a deep, talented squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Rodri, Pedri, and other Euro 2024 standouts under Luis de la Fuente, which supports the market's 17% implied probability for a title run and 14.5% for semifinals. Recent injury recoveries and a favorable Group H draw against Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay reduce the chance of an early group-stage exit to just 2.9%. Trader consensus around a round-of-16 or quarterfinal exit reflects the competitive nature of the expanded knockout bracket, where strong European and South American sides create realistic barriers despite Spain's recent form and roster quality.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$9,720종료일
2026.07.19마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spain enters the 2026 World Cup with a deep, talented squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Rodri, Pedri, and other Euro 2024 standouts under Luis de la Fuente, which supports the market's 17% implied probability for a title run and 14.5% for semifinals. Recent injury recoveries and a favorable Group H draw against Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay reduce the chance of an early group-stage exit to just 2.9%. Trader consensus around a round-of-16 or quarterfinal exit reflects the competitive nature of the expanded knockout bracket, where strong European and South American sides create realistic barriers despite Spain's recent form and roster quality.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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