The expanded 2026 World Cup format features 48 teams across 12 groups of four, with the top two sides from each group advancing automatically alongside the eight best third-placed teams based on points, goal difference, and goals scored. As group stage matches open on June 11, trader sentiment reflects heavy favorites such as Spain, Argentina, Brazil, Germany, and England, who enter with elite squads, strong recent form, and favorable group draws that minimize elimination risk. Co-host advantages for Mexico, the United States, and Canada factor into early positioning, while underdogs face tougher paths against established powers. Key variables include squad fitness, opening-match results, and tiebreaker scenarios that could elevate or eliminate third-place contenders.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,521,324 거래량
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
France
97%
England
96%
Germany
96%
Portugal
96%
Argentina
96%
Belgium
96%
Switzerland
94%
Mexico
92%
Netherlands
91%
Colombia
90%
Ecuador
88%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
83%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
80%
Japan
79%
Egypt
72%
Senegal
71%
South Korea
70%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Algeria
66%
Paraguay
64%
Sweden
63%
Iran
61%
Ghana
51%
Australia
46%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
37%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Panama
35%
Uzbekistan
32%
New Zealand
31%
Cape Verde
31%
Qatar
21%
Jordan
20%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
$1,521,324 거래량
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
France
97%
England
96%
Germany
96%
Portugal
96%
Argentina
96%
Belgium
96%
Switzerland
94%
Mexico
92%
Netherlands
91%
Colombia
90%
Ecuador
88%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
83%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
80%
Japan
79%
Egypt
72%
Senegal
71%
South Korea
70%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Algeria
66%
Paraguay
64%
Sweden
63%
Iran
61%
Ghana
51%
Australia
46%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
37%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Panama
35%
Uzbekistan
32%
New Zealand
31%
Cape Verde
31%
Qatar
21%
Jordan
20%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 2026 World Cup format features 48 teams across 12 groups of four, with the top two sides from each group advancing automatically alongside the eight best third-placed teams based on points, goal difference, and goals scored. As group stage matches open on June 11, trader sentiment reflects heavy favorites such as Spain, Argentina, Brazil, Germany, and England, who enter with elite squads, strong recent form, and favorable group draws that minimize elimination risk. Co-host advantages for Mexico, the United States, and Canada factor into early positioning, while underdogs face tougher paths against established powers. Key variables include squad fitness, opening-match results, and tiebreaker scenarios that could elevate or eliminate third-place contenders.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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