The race for the eight best third-placed teams from the 12 groups hinges on points earned across the remaining group fixtures, with goal difference and goals scored serving as primary tiebreakers ahead of fair play and FIFA ranking. Early group results have produced several sides on three points or zero after one match, leaving wide scope for swings as teams play their second and third games. Stronger third-place candidates benefit from favorable remaining schedules and home/away dynamics within their groups, while underdogs need positive results plus superior differentials to climb the overall third-place table. All group-stage outcomes finalize before knockout seeding, and any late draws or narrow wins could shift multiple teams across the qualification threshold simultaneously.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Czechia
51%
Japan
51%
Senegal
51%
South Africa
51%
Cape Verde
51%
Iran
51%
South Korea
51%
Australia
51%
Iraq
51%
Ivory Coast
51%
Panama
51%
Qatar
51%
Uzbekistan
51%
Colombia
51%
Ecuador
51%
Paraguay
51%
Tunisia
51%
Türkiye
51%
United States
51%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
51%
Sweden
51%
Canada
51%
Saudi Arabia
51%
Scotland
51%
New Zealand
50%
Ghana
50%
Curaçao
50%
DR Congo
50%
Austria
50%
Egypt
50%
Croatia
50%
Algeria
50%
Haiti
50%
Jordan
50%
Belgium
49%
Argentina
49%
Portugal
26%
Netherlands
12%
Spain
11%
Mexico
6%
Norway
6%
Morocco
6%
Switzerland
12%
Brazil
5%
Germany
4%
England
3%
France
3%
Uruguay
50%
$224 거래량
Czechia
51%
Japan
51%
Senegal
51%
South Africa
51%
Cape Verde
51%
Iran
51%
South Korea
51%
Australia
51%
Iraq
51%
Ivory Coast
51%
Panama
51%
Qatar
51%
Uzbekistan
51%
Colombia
51%
Ecuador
51%
Paraguay
51%
Tunisia
51%
Türkiye
51%
United States
51%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
51%
Sweden
51%
Canada
51%
Saudi Arabia
51%
Scotland
51%
New Zealand
50%
Ghana
50%
Curaçao
50%
DR Congo
50%
Austria
50%
Egypt
50%
Croatia
50%
Algeria
50%
Haiti
50%
Jordan
50%
Belgium
49%
Argentina
49%
Portugal
26%
Netherlands
12%
Spain
11%
Mexico
6%
Norway
6%
Morocco
6%
Switzerland
12%
Brazil
5%
Germany
4%
England
3%
France
3%
Uruguay
50%
A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”.
The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”.
The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The race for the eight best third-placed teams from the 12 groups hinges on points earned across the remaining group fixtures, with goal difference and goals scored serving as primary tiebreakers ahead of fair play and FIFA ranking. Early group results have produced several sides on three points or zero after one match, leaving wide scope for swings as teams play their second and third games. Stronger third-place candidates benefit from favorable remaining schedules and home/away dynamics within their groups, while underdogs need positive results plus superior differentials to climb the overall third-place table. All group-stage outcomes finalize before knockout seeding, and any late draws or narrow wins could shift multiple teams across the qualification threshold simultaneously.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문