France leads trader consensus at 17.9% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, just ahead of Spain at 16.4%, reflecting razor-thin FIFA rankings where France tops Spain by a single point, with Argentina and England close behind after topping tough UEFA and CONMEBOL qualifiers. Recent ESPN power rankings slot Spain first and France second, bolstered by dominant recent international form and depth despite injuries like France's Hugo Ekitike and Brazil's Rodrygo being ruled out, which tempers challengers' paths. Lionel Messi's recent nod to France, Spain, and Brazil as top threats underscores the parity among European and South American elites in favorable group draws, keeping the race tight amid squad announcements and final club fatigue.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
Francja 17.9%
Hiszpania 16.4%
Anglia 11.5%
Brazylia 9.2%
$970,764,047 Wol.
$970,764,047 Wol.
Francja
18%
Hiszpania
16%
Anglia
11%
Brazylia
9%
Argentyna
9%
Portugalia
8%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
3%
Norwegia
2%
Japonia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolumbia
2%
USA
2%
Maroko
2%
Szwajcaria
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Meksyk
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turcja
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francja 17.9%
Hiszpania 16.4%
Anglia 11.5%
Brazylia 9.2%
$970,764,047 Wol.
$970,764,047 Wol.
Francja
18%
Hiszpania
16%
Anglia
11%
Brazylia
9%
Argentyna
9%
Portugalia
8%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
3%
Norwegia
2%
Japonia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolumbia
2%
USA
2%
Maroko
2%
Szwajcaria
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Meksyk
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turcja
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France leads trader consensus at 17.9% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, just ahead of Spain at 16.4%, reflecting razor-thin FIFA rankings where France tops Spain by a single point, with Argentina and England close behind after topping tough UEFA and CONMEBOL qualifiers. Recent ESPN power rankings slot Spain first and France second, bolstered by dominant recent international form and depth despite injuries like France's Hugo Ekitike and Brazil's Rodrygo being ruled out, which tempers challengers' paths. Lionel Messi's recent nod to France, Spain, and Brazil as top threats underscores the parity among European and South American elites in favorable group draws, keeping the race tight amid squad announcements and final club fatigue.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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