With several European powerhouses displaying strong recent form and deep squads ahead of the expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup, trader consensus reflects a tight race among France, Spain, and England. Spain's near-flawless qualification campaign and tactical cohesion under recent success position them as slight co-leaders, while France benefits from elite depth and attacking talent. Argentina's defending-champion experience and Brazil's traditional pedigree add to the balance, with Portugal and Germany not far behind based on head-to-head trends and group-stage paths. The bunched probabilities around 8-18% highlight how minor shifts in fitness or early-tournament results could quickly alter implied probabilities across the field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
Francja 18.3%
Hiszpania 16.7%
Anglia 11.3%
Brazylia 9.2%
$1,012,265,246 Wol.
$1,012,265,246 Wol.
Jul 20, 2026
Francja
18%
Hiszpania
17%
Anglia
11%
Brazylia
9%
Argentyna
8%
Portugalia
8%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
3%
Norwegia
2%
Japonia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolumbia
2%
USA
2%
Maroko
2%
Szwajcaria
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Meksyk
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turcja
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francja 18.3%
Hiszpania 16.7%
Anglia 11.3%
Brazylia 9.2%
$1,012,265,246 Wol.
$1,012,265,246 Wol.
Jul 20, 2026
Francja
$27,224,604 Wol.
18%
Hiszpania
$21,357,646 Wol.
17%
Anglia
$17,552,210 Wol.
11%
Brazylia
$18,882,984 Wol.
9%
Argentyna
$18,460,794 Wol.
8%
Portugalia
$20,178,273 Wol.
8%
Niemcy
$17,192,701 Wol.
5%
Holandia
$19,283,599 Wol.
3%
Norwegia
$17,766,768 Wol.
2%
Japonia
$22,035,569 Wol.
2%
Belgia
$16,851,005 Wol.
2%
Kolumbia
$15,732,340 Wol.
2%
USA
$32,313,214 Wol.
2%
Maroko
$20,672,100 Wol.
2%
Szwajcaria
$18,497,672 Wol.
1%
Urugwaj
$17,947,110 Wol.
1%
Meksyk
$19,622,071 Wol.
1%
Croatia
$21,544,200 Wol.
1%
Ekwador
$21,975,073 Wol.
1%
Senegal
$17,606,583 Wol.
1%
Turcja
$10,984,045 Wol.
1%
Austria
$18,777,146 Wol.
1%
Sweden
$9,941,251 Wol.
1%
Kanada
$23,048,852 Wol.
<1%
Korea Południowa
$24,530,121 Wol.
<1%
Paragwaj
$19,721,669 Wol.
<1%
Szkocja
$18,679,234 Wol.
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
$23,362,054 Wol.
<1%
Egypt
$23,772,931 Wol.
<1%
Ghana
$18,246,418 Wol.
<1%
Algieria
$21,922,168 Wol.
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
$10,800,854 Wol.
<1%
Czechia
$9,495,037 Wol.
<1%
Australia
$23,921,694 Wol.
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
$31,144,613 Wol.
<1%
Haiti
$18,012,532 Wol.
<1%
Jordania
$26,145,585 Wol.
<1%
Curaçao
$36,708,852 Wol.
<1%
Iran
$24,895,749 Wol.
<1%
Tunezja
$22,370,369 Wol.
<1%
Uzbekistan
$39,007,491 Wol.
<1%
Panama
$13,130,562 Wol.
<1%
Irak
$12,717,706 Wol.
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
$27,146,346 Wol.
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
$16,527,531 Wol.
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
$23,157,977 Wol.
<1%
Katar
$24,775,166 Wol.
<1%
Saudi Arabia
$27,735,299 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With several European powerhouses displaying strong recent form and deep squads ahead of the expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup, trader consensus reflects a tight race among France, Spain, and England. Spain's near-flawless qualification campaign and tactical cohesion under recent success position them as slight co-leaders, while France benefits from elite depth and attacking talent. Argentina's defending-champion experience and Brazil's traditional pedigree add to the balance, with Portugal and Germany not far behind based on head-to-head trends and group-stage paths. The bunched probabilities around 8-18% highlight how minor shifts in fitness or early-tournament results could quickly alter implied probabilities across the field.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,012,265,246Data zakończenia
Jul 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With several European powerhouses displaying strong recent form and deep squads ahead of the expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup, trader consensus reflects a tight race among France, Spain, and England. Spain's near-flawless qualification campaign and tactical cohesion under recent success position them as slight co-leaders, while France benefits from elite depth and attacking talent. Argentina's defending-champion experience and Brazil's traditional pedigree add to the balance, with Portugal and Germany not far behind based on head-to-head trends and group-stage paths. The bunched probabilities around 8-18% highlight how minor shifts in fitness or early-tournament results could quickly alter implied probabilities across the field.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,012,265,246Data zakończenia
Jul 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With several European powerhouses displaying strong recent form and deep squads ahead of the expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup, trader consensus reflects a tight race among France, Spain, and England. Spain's near-flawless qualification campaign and tactical cohesion under recent success position them as slight co-leaders, while France benefits from elite depth and attacking talent. Argentina's defending-champion experience and Brazil's traditional pedigree add to the balance, with Portugal and Germany not far behind based on head-to-head trends and group-stage paths. The bunched probabilities around 8-18% highlight how minor shifts in fitness or early-tournament results could quickly alter implied probabilities across the field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania