The tight clustering of implied probabilities among the leading contenders stems from the exceptional depth and recent form across several elite national teams just weeks before the expanded 48-team tournament kicks off in June. Spain, fresh off its European Championship triumph and an extended unbeaten streak in competitive fixtures, benefits from tactical cohesion and attacking options that power rankings currently place at the top. France counters with squad versatility, strong recent results including victories over high-caliber opposition, and proven knockout pedigree under established leadership. England’s blend of experience and emerging talent keeps it competitive, while Brazil and Argentina maintain strong positions through attacking firepower and historical success. Minor roster tweaks and fitness updates, such as key player concerns for Spain, continue to influence trader assessments of path-to-title scenarios without shifting the overall balance dramatically.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
Francja 18.6%
Hiszpania 16.8%
Anglia 11.3%
Brazylia 9.2%
$1,009,346,855 Wol.
$1,009,346,855 Wol.
Francja
19%
Hiszpania
17%
Anglia
11%
Brazylia
9%
Argentyna
9%
Portugalia
8%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
3%
Norwegia
2%
Japonia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolumbia
2%
USA
2%
Maroko
2%
Szwajcaria
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Meksyk
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turcja
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francja 18.6%
Hiszpania 16.8%
Anglia 11.3%
Brazylia 9.2%
$1,009,346,855 Wol.
$1,009,346,855 Wol.
Francja
19%
Hiszpania
17%
Anglia
11%
Brazylia
9%
Argentyna
9%
Portugalia
8%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
3%
Norwegia
2%
Japonia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolumbia
2%
USA
2%
Maroko
2%
Szwajcaria
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Meksyk
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turcja
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among the leading contenders stems from the exceptional depth and recent form across several elite national teams just weeks before the expanded 48-team tournament kicks off in June. Spain, fresh off its European Championship triumph and an extended unbeaten streak in competitive fixtures, benefits from tactical cohesion and attacking options that power rankings currently place at the top. France counters with squad versatility, strong recent results including victories over high-caliber opposition, and proven knockout pedigree under established leadership. England’s blend of experience and emerging talent keeps it competitive, while Brazil and Argentina maintain strong positions through attacking firepower and historical success. Minor roster tweaks and fitness updates, such as key player concerns for Spain, continue to influence trader assessments of path-to-title scenarios without shifting the overall balance dramatically.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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