The tight clustering of implied probabilities among France, Spain, England, and the next tier of contenders reflects the deep parity across elite international squads just weeks before the expanded 48-team tournament opens. Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and sustained tactical cohesion under Luis de la Fuente give them a narrow edge in current form, while France’s unmatched squad depth and rotation capacity keep them level despite occasional injury concerns. England’s flawless qualifying campaign and improved attacking structure bolster their position, and Argentina’s defending-champion core retains realistic title continuity. Brazil and Germany sit just behind amid ongoing rebuilds, with the draw and group-stage paths further compressing the gap by shielding top seeds until the knockout rounds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
Francja 17.8%
Hiszpania 16.7%
Anglia 11.5%
Brazylia 9.2%
$1,002,492,244 Wol.
$1,002,492,244 Wol.
Francja
18%
Hiszpania
17%
Anglia
11%
Brazylia
9%
Argentyna
9%
Portugalia
8%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
3%
Norwegia
2%
Japonia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolumbia
2%
USA
2%
Maroko
2%
Szwajcaria
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Meksyk
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turcja
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francja 17.8%
Hiszpania 16.7%
Anglia 11.5%
Brazylia 9.2%
$1,002,492,244 Wol.
$1,002,492,244 Wol.
Francja
18%
Hiszpania
17%
Anglia
11%
Brazylia
9%
Argentyna
9%
Portugalia
8%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
3%
Norwegia
2%
Japonia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolumbia
2%
USA
2%
Maroko
2%
Szwajcaria
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Meksyk
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turcja
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among France, Spain, England, and the next tier of contenders reflects the deep parity across elite international squads just weeks before the expanded 48-team tournament opens. Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and sustained tactical cohesion under Luis de la Fuente give them a narrow edge in current form, while France’s unmatched squad depth and rotation capacity keep them level despite occasional injury concerns. England’s flawless qualifying campaign and improved attacking structure bolster their position, and Argentina’s defending-champion core retains realistic title continuity. Brazil and Germany sit just behind amid ongoing rebuilds, with the draw and group-stage paths further compressing the gap by shielding top seeds until the knockout rounds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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