The tight bunching of implied probabilities among the leading contenders for the 2026 FIFA World Cup stems from several European sides entering with elite squad depth and recent international form. Spain sits atop power rankings after an extended unbeaten run and their European Championship triumph, while France has climbed on the back of consistent qualification results and forward firepower. England’s back-to-back major final appearances keep them competitive, and defending champions Argentina retain strong core experience despite the challenges of repeating success. Brazil and Portugal add further balance through attacking talent and recent results, leaving the market reflecting a genuinely open field where group-stage matchups and early knockout momentum could quickly shift consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
Francja 18.3%
Hiszpania 16.7%
Anglia 11.3%
Brazylia 9.2%
$1,012,912,111 Wol.
$1,012,912,111 Wol.
Francja
18%
Hiszpania
17%
Anglia
11%
Brazylia
9%
Argentyna
8%
Portugalia
8%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
3%
Norwegia
2%
Japonia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolumbia
2%
USA
2%
Maroko
2%
Szwajcaria
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Meksyk
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turcja
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francja 18.3%
Hiszpania 16.7%
Anglia 11.3%
Brazylia 9.2%
$1,012,912,111 Wol.
$1,012,912,111 Wol.
Francja
18%
Hiszpania
17%
Anglia
11%
Brazylia
9%
Argentyna
8%
Portugalia
8%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
3%
Norwegia
2%
Japonia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolumbia
2%
USA
2%
Maroko
2%
Szwajcaria
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Meksyk
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turcja
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight bunching of implied probabilities among the leading contenders for the 2026 FIFA World Cup stems from several European sides entering with elite squad depth and recent international form. Spain sits atop power rankings after an extended unbeaten run and their European Championship triumph, while France has climbed on the back of consistent qualification results and forward firepower. England’s back-to-back major final appearances keep them competitive, and defending champions Argentina retain strong core experience despite the challenges of repeating success. Brazil and Portugal add further balance through attacking talent and recent results, leaving the market reflecting a genuinely open field where group-stage matchups and early knockout momentum could quickly shift consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania