France holds a slim 17.9% implied probability edge as 2026 FIFA World Cup winner on Polymarket, with Spain close at 16.4%, reflecting trader consensus on both teams' roster depth amid mounting pre-tournament injuries like Kylian Mbappé's hamstring sidelining and Lamine Yamal's season-ending issue. Spain's Euro 2024 success and emerging talents such as Pedri sustain their contention, while England's 11.5% follows solid Nations League form but defensive vulnerabilities. Brazil (9.2%) and Argentina (8.6%) trail due to Vinícius Júnior fitness doubts and Lionel Messi's age (39), keeping the race tight in the 48-team expanded format with balanced group draws and knockout volatility from recent international friendlies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
Francja 17.9%
Hiszpania 16.4%
Anglia 11.5%
Brazylia 9.2%
$971,069,749 Wol.
$971,069,749 Wol.

Francja
18%

Hiszpania
16%

Anglia
11%

Brazylia
9%

Argentyna
9%

Portugalia
8%

Niemcy
5%

Holandia
3%

Norwegia
2%

Japonia
2%

Belgia
2%

Kolumbia
2%

USA
2%

Maroko
2%

Szwajcaria
1%

Urugwaj
1%

Meksyk
1%

Croatia
1%

Ekwador
1%

Senegal
1%

Turcja
1%

Austria
1%

Sweden
1%

Kanada
<1%

Korea Południowa
<1%

Paragwaj
<1%

Szkocja
<1%

Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Egypt
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algieria
<1%

Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%

Tunezja
<1%

Australia
<1%

Nowa Zelandia
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordania
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Iran
<1%

Uzbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%

Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%

Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%

Katar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francja 17.9%
Hiszpania 16.4%
Anglia 11.5%
Brazylia 9.2%
$971,069,749 Wol.
$971,069,749 Wol.

Francja
18%

Hiszpania
16%

Anglia
11%

Brazylia
9%

Argentyna
9%

Portugalia
8%

Niemcy
5%

Holandia
3%

Norwegia
2%

Japonia
2%

Belgia
2%

Kolumbia
2%

USA
2%

Maroko
2%

Szwajcaria
1%

Urugwaj
1%

Meksyk
1%

Croatia
1%

Ekwador
1%

Senegal
1%

Turcja
1%

Austria
1%

Sweden
1%

Kanada
<1%

Korea Południowa
<1%

Paragwaj
<1%

Szkocja
<1%

Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Egypt
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algieria
<1%

Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%

Tunezja
<1%

Australia
<1%

Nowa Zelandia
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Jordania
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Iran
<1%

Uzbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%

Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%

Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%

Katar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France holds a slim 17.9% implied probability edge as 2026 FIFA World Cup winner on Polymarket, with Spain close at 16.4%, reflecting trader consensus on both teams' roster depth amid mounting pre-tournament injuries like Kylian Mbappé's hamstring sidelining and Lamine Yamal's season-ending issue. Spain's Euro 2024 success and emerging talents such as Pedri sustain their contention, while England's 11.5% follows solid Nations League form but defensive vulnerabilities. Brazil (9.2%) and Argentina (8.6%) trail due to Vinícius Júnior fitness doubts and Lionel Messi's age (39), keeping the race tight in the 48-team expanded format with balanced group draws and knockout volatility from recent international friendlies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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