The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
2026 Zwycięzca Mistrzostw Świata w Piłce Nożnej
Francja 18.3%
Hiszpania 16.7%
Anglia 11.3%
Brazylia 9.2%
$1,011,997,315 Wol.
$1,011,997,315 Wol.
Jul 20, 2026
Francja
18%
Hiszpania
17%
Anglia
11%
Brazylia
9%
Argentyna
8%
Portugalia
8%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
3%
Norwegia
2%
Japonia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolumbia
2%
USA
2%
Maroko
2%
Szwajcaria
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Meksyk
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekwador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turcja
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francja 18.3%
Hiszpania 16.7%
Anglia 11.3%
Brazylia 9.2%
$1,011,997,315 Wol.
$1,011,997,315 Wol.
Jul 20, 2026
Francja
$27,219,992 Wol.
18%
Hiszpania
$21,343,856 Wol.
17%
Anglia
$17,550,128 Wol.
11%
Brazylia
$18,880,905 Wol.
9%
Argentyna
$18,459,035 Wol.
8%
Portugalia
$20,167,894 Wol.
8%
Niemcy
$17,190,878 Wol.
5%
Holandia
$19,279,652 Wol.
3%
Norwegia
$17,737,476 Wol.
2%
Japonia
$22,031,701 Wol.
2%
Belgia
$16,847,376 Wol.
2%
Kolumbia
$15,731,000 Wol.
2%
USA
$32,308,619 Wol.
2%
Maroko
$20,669,190 Wol.
2%
Szwajcaria
$18,459,413 Wol.
1%
Urugwaj
$17,945,415 Wol.
1%
Meksyk
$19,620,054 Wol.
1%
Croatia
$21,536,475 Wol.
1%
Ekwador
$21,973,648 Wol.
1%
Senegal
$17,605,661 Wol.
1%
Turcja
$10,980,998 Wol.
1%
Austria
$18,774,270 Wol.
1%
Sweden
$9,937,284 Wol.
1%
Kanada
$23,046,868 Wol.
<1%
Korea Południowa
$24,522,261 Wol.
<1%
Paragwaj
$19,721,105 Wol.
<1%
Szkocja
$18,678,058 Wol.
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
$23,361,370 Wol.
<1%
Egypt
$23,771,448 Wol.
<1%
Ghana
$18,245,408 Wol.
<1%
Algieria
$21,921,486 Wol.
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
$10,799,410 Wol.
<1%
Czechia
$9,493,642 Wol.
<1%
Australia
$23,920,795 Wol.
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
$31,142,414 Wol.
<1%
Haiti
$18,011,334 Wol.
<1%
Jordania
$26,143,420 Wol.
<1%
Curaçao
$36,706,703 Wol.
<1%
Iran
$24,894,596 Wol.
<1%
Tunezja
$22,369,290 Wol.
<1%
Uzbekistan
$39,006,863 Wol.
<1%
Panama
$13,129,213 Wol.
<1%
Irak
$12,712,641 Wol.
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
$27,145,682 Wol.
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
$16,526,528 Wol.
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
$23,155,641 Wol.
<1%
Katar
$24,773,690 Wol.
<1%
Saudi Arabia
$27,734,416 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,011,997,315Data zakończenia
Jul 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,011,997,315Data zakończenia
Jul 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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