Incumbent Robert Luna advanced from the June 2026 primary with 44% of the vote to face Alex Villanueva in the November 3 runoff, a rematch of the 2022 contest that Luna won decisively. Traders assign Luna an 89% implied probability due to his endorsements from all five county supervisors, the Los Angeles County Federation of Labor, and the Association for Los Angeles Deputy Sheriffs, alongside his record of crime reductions in department-patrolled areas. Villanueva, at 10.5%, trails amid lingering questions from his prior term regarding department oversight and recruitment challenges. Other listed candidates received negligible primary support and hold no realistic path in the two-candidate general. The market reflects historical re-election patterns for incumbents with unified institutional backing in this nonpartisan race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner
2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Robert Luna
89%
Alex Villanueva
10%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Robert Luna
$4,027 Wol.
89%
Alex Villanueva
$5,258 Wol.
10%
The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.Incumbent Robert Luna advanced from the June 2026 primary with 44% of the vote to face Alex Villanueva in the November 3 runoff, a rematch of the 2022 contest that Luna won decisively. Traders assign Luna an 89% implied probability due to his endorsements from all five county supervisors, the Los Angeles County Federation of Labor, and the Association for Los Angeles Deputy Sheriffs, alongside his record of crime reductions in department-patrolled areas. Villanueva, at 10.5%, trails amid lingering questions from his prior term regarding department oversight and recruitment challenges. Other listed candidates received negligible primary support and hold no realistic path in the two-candidate general. The market reflects historical re-election patterns for incumbents with unified institutional backing in this nonpartisan race.
The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 26, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,284Data zakończenia
May 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 12:06 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.Incumbent Robert Luna advanced from the June 2026 primary with 44% of the vote to face Alex Villanueva in the November 3 runoff, a rematch of the 2022 contest that Luna won decisively. Traders assign Luna an 89% implied probability due to his endorsements from all five county supervisors, the Los Angeles County Federation of Labor, and the Association for Los Angeles Deputy Sheriffs, alongside his record of crime reductions in department-patrolled areas. Villanueva, at 10.5%, trails amid lingering questions from his prior term regarding department oversight and recruitment challenges. Other listed candidates received negligible primary support and hold no realistic path in the two-candidate general. The market reflects historical re-election patterns for incumbents with unified institutional backing in this nonpartisan race.
The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.
Wolumen
$9,284Data zakończenia
May 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 12:06 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Robert Luna advanced from the June 2026 primary with 44% of the vote to face Alex Villanueva in the November 3 runoff, a rematch of the 2022 contest that Luna won decisively. Traders assign Luna an 89% implied probability due to his endorsements from all five county supervisors, the Los Angeles County Federation of Labor, and the Association for Los Angeles Deputy Sheriffs, alongside his record of crime reductions in department-patrolled areas. Villanueva, at 10.5%, trails amid lingering questions from his prior term regarding department oversight and recruitment challenges. Other listed candidates received negligible primary support and hold no realistic path in the two-candidate general. The market reflects historical re-election patterns for incumbents with unified institutional backing in this nonpartisan race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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