Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 59.3% implied probability following his record 2025-26 club campaign with Bayern Munich, where he netted roughly 70 goals and secured a domestic treble. This scoring volume and silverware have anchored trader consensus despite England's World Cup exit. Lamine Yamal sits at 17.3% on the back of Spain's tournament triumph and his starring role as a teenage forward, while Rodri at 8.5% benefits from his Golden Ball performance in that same international success. Kylian Mbappé and others trail amid comparatively less dominant seasons across club and country, with early 2026-27 form now beginning to shape ongoing probability adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZwycięzca Ballon d'Or 2026
Zwycięzca Ballon d'Or 2026
Harry Kane 59.3%
Lamine Yamal 17.3%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.6%
$28,219,066 Wol.
$28,219,066 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
59%
Lamine Yamal
17%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Chwicza Kwaracchelia
5%
Ousmane Dembélé
3%
Lionel Messi
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 59.3%
Lamine Yamal 17.3%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.6%
$28,219,066 Wol.
$28,219,066 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
$3,284,456 Wol.
59%
Lamine Yamal
$1,766,666 Wol.
17%
Rodri
$1,040,334 Wol.
9%
Kylian Mbappé
$1,532,572 Wol.
8%
Chwicza Kwaracchelia
$1,063,552 Wol.
5%
Ousmane Dembélé
$1,763,412 Wol.
3%
Lionel Messi
$1,880,779 Wol.
2%
Fabian Ruiz
$822,576 Wol.
1%
Erling Haaland
$1,133,268 Wol.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$1,008,518 Wol.
<1%
Michael Olise
$1,073,019 Wol.
<1%
Declan Rice
$797,548 Wol.
<1%
Vitinha
$676,895 Wol.
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
$788,149 Wol.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$1,057,642 Wol.
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
$1,066,431 Wol.
<1%
Pedri
$879,645 Wol.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$678,611 Wol.
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$731,885 Wol.
<1%
Raphinha
$694,097 Wol.
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
$708,049 Wol.
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
$486,133 Wol.
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$457,373 Wol.
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
$66,071 Wol.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$446,646 Wol.
<1%
Desire Doue
$732,298 Wol.
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
$739,023 Wol.
<1%
Luis Diaz
$439,280 Wol.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$168,271 Wol.
<1%
Rodrygo
$88,121 Wol.
<1%
Bukayo Saka
$147,747 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 59.3% implied probability following his record 2025-26 club campaign with Bayern Munich, where he netted roughly 70 goals and secured a domestic treble. This scoring volume and silverware have anchored trader consensus despite England's World Cup exit. Lamine Yamal sits at 17.3% on the back of Spain's tournament triumph and his starring role as a teenage forward, while Rodri at 8.5% benefits from his Golden Ball performance in that same international success. Kylian Mbappé and others trail amid comparatively less dominant seasons across club and country, with early 2026-27 form now beginning to shape ongoing probability adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$28,219,066Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 59.3% implied probability following his record 2025-26 club campaign with Bayern Munich, where he netted roughly 70 goals and secured a domestic treble. This scoring volume and silverware have anchored trader consensus despite England's World Cup exit. Lamine Yamal sits at 17.3% on the back of Spain's tournament triumph and his starring role as a teenage forward, while Rodri at 8.5% benefits from his Golden Ball performance in that same international success. Kylian Mbappé and others trail amid comparatively less dominant seasons across club and country, with early 2026-27 form now beginning to shape ongoing probability adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Wolumen
$28,219,066Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 59.3% implied probability following his record 2025-26 club campaign with Bayern Munich, where he netted roughly 70 goals and secured a domestic treble. This scoring volume and silverware have anchored trader consensus despite England's World Cup exit. Lamine Yamal sits at 17.3% on the back of Spain's tournament triumph and his starring role as a teenage forward, while Rodri at 8.5% benefits from his Golden Ball performance in that same international success. Kylian Mbappé and others trail amid comparatively less dominant seasons across club and country, with early 2026-27 form now beginning to shape ongoing probability adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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