Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 60.7% implied probability, driven by his record goal tally exceeding 60 across the Bundesliga campaign and strong World Cup output that lifted England’s scoring charts. Bayern’s domestic successes, including league and cup honors, have reinforced his case as the standout forward. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.6% on the back of Barcelona form and Spain’s tournament run, while Rodri and Kylian Mbappé trail at roughly 8% each amid midfield consistency and club contributions. Recent World Cup results shifted sentiment sharply toward Kane, whose individual numbers and team achievements have widened the gap in trader assessments ahead of the October ceremony.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZwycięzca Ballon d'Or 2026
Zwycięzca Ballon d'Or 2026
Harry Kane 60.7%
Lamine Yamal 15.6%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 8.3%
$29,086,974 Wol.
$29,086,974 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Chwicza Kwaracchelia
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Lionel Messi
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 60.7%
Lamine Yamal 15.6%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 8.3%
$29,086,974 Wol.
$29,086,974 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
$3,406,337 Wol.
61%
Lamine Yamal
$1,838,154 Wol.
16%
Rodri
$1,101,027 Wol.
9%
Kylian Mbappé
$1,594,845 Wol.
8%
Chwicza Kwaracchelia
$1,117,741 Wol.
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
$1,863,231 Wol.
2%
Lionel Messi
$1,928,843 Wol.
2%
Fabian Ruiz
$876,508 Wol.
1%
Erling Haaland
$1,288,210 Wol.
<1%
Michael Olise
$1,092,720 Wol.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$1,034,555 Wol.
<1%
Declan Rice
$816,229 Wol.
<1%
Vitinha
$714,535 Wol.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$1,057,708 Wol.
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
$1,067,431 Wol.
<1%
Pedri
$884,675 Wol.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$679,621 Wol.
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$732,885 Wol.
<1%
Raphinha
$695,107 Wol.
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
$709,212 Wol.
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
$487,143 Wol.
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$457,373 Wol.
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
$67,071 Wol.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$447,652 Wol.
<1%
Desire Doue
$733,383 Wol.
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
$740,043 Wol.
<1%
Luis Diaz
$439,309 Wol.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$168,279 Wol.
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
$811,282 Wol.
<1%
Rodrygo
$88,121 Wol.
<1%
Bukayo Saka
$147,747 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 60.7% implied probability, driven by his record goal tally exceeding 60 across the Bundesliga campaign and strong World Cup output that lifted England’s scoring charts. Bayern’s domestic successes, including league and cup honors, have reinforced his case as the standout forward. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.6% on the back of Barcelona form and Spain’s tournament run, while Rodri and Kylian Mbappé trail at roughly 8% each amid midfield consistency and club contributions. Recent World Cup results shifted sentiment sharply toward Kane, whose individual numbers and team achievements have widened the gap in trader assessments ahead of the October ceremony.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$29,086,974Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 60.7% implied probability, driven by his record goal tally exceeding 60 across the Bundesliga campaign and strong World Cup output that lifted England’s scoring charts. Bayern’s domestic successes, including league and cup honors, have reinforced his case as the standout forward. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.6% on the back of Barcelona form and Spain’s tournament run, while Rodri and Kylian Mbappé trail at roughly 8% each amid midfield consistency and club contributions. Recent World Cup results shifted sentiment sharply toward Kane, whose individual numbers and team achievements have widened the gap in trader assessments ahead of the October ceremony.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Wolumen
$29,086,974Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 60.7% implied probability, driven by his record goal tally exceeding 60 across the Bundesliga campaign and strong World Cup output that lifted England’s scoring charts. Bayern’s domestic successes, including league and cup honors, have reinforced his case as the standout forward. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.6% on the back of Barcelona form and Spain’s tournament run, while Rodri and Kylian Mbappé trail at roughly 8% each amid midfield consistency and club contributions. Recent World Cup results shifted sentiment sharply toward Kane, whose individual numbers and team achievements have widened the gap in trader assessments ahead of the October ceremony.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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