Escalation in the Middle East conflict has driven sharp rises in energy prices, pushing UK CPI inflation to 3.3% and shifting Bank of England expectations away from earlier anticipated cuts toward potential tightening in 2026. At its April 30 meeting, the MPC held Bank Rate steady at 3.75% by an 8-1 vote, with one member favoring a 25 basis point increase amid upside risks to wages and second-round effects. Money markets now price in roughly 62 basis points of rate hikes by year-end, reflecting the central bank’s state-contingent stance and scenario-based forecasts that could require materially higher policy rates. Traders assign a 70% implied probability to at least one hike occurring this year, with the June 18 MPC decision and upcoming April CPI release as key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of England rate hike in 2026?
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
$27,500 Wol.
$27,500 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$27,500 Wol.
$27,500 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Escalation in the Middle East conflict has driven sharp rises in energy prices, pushing UK CPI inflation to 3.3% and shifting Bank of England expectations away from earlier anticipated cuts toward potential tightening in 2026. At its April 30 meeting, the MPC held Bank Rate steady at 3.75% by an 8-1 vote, with one member favoring a 25 basis point increase amid upside risks to wages and second-round effects. Money markets now price in roughly 62 basis points of rate hikes by year-end, reflecting the central bank’s state-contingent stance and scenario-based forecasts that could require materially higher policy rates. Traders assign a 70% implied probability to at least one hike occurring this year, with the June 18 MPC decision and upcoming April CPI release as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,500Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Escalation in the Middle East conflict has driven sharp rises in energy prices, pushing UK CPI inflation to 3.3% and shifting Bank of England expectations away from earlier anticipated cuts toward potential tightening in 2026. At its April 30 meeting, the MPC held Bank Rate steady at 3.75% by an 8-1 vote, with one member favoring a 25 basis point increase amid upside risks to wages and second-round effects. Money markets now price in roughly 62 basis points of rate hikes by year-end, reflecting the central bank’s state-contingent stance and scenario-based forecasts that could require materially higher policy rates. Traders assign a 70% implied probability to at least one hike occurring this year, with the June 18 MPC decision and upcoming April CPI release as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$27,500Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Escalation in the Middle East conflict has driven sharp rises in energy prices, pushing UK CPI inflation to 3.3% and shifting Bank of England expectations away from earlier anticipated cuts toward potential tightening in 2026. At its April 30 meeting, the MPC held Bank Rate steady at 3.75% by an 8-1 vote, with one member favoring a 25 basis point increase amid upside risks to wages and second-round effects. Money markets now price in roughly 62 basis points of rate hikes by year-end, reflecting the central bank’s state-contingent stance and scenario-based forecasts that could require materially higher policy rates. Traders assign a 70% implied probability to at least one hike occurring this year, with the June 18 MPC decision and upcoming April CPI release as key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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