The Bank of England’s decision to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% through July 2026 on a 6-3 vote, with inflation easing to 2.6%, underpins the 72% market-implied probability against any hike this year. Weak UK growth near stall speed, moderating core pressures, and the MPC’s data-dependent guidance have outweighed upside risks from volatile Middle East energy prices, which the Bank expects will push inflation higher later in 2026 before a medium-term return to the 2% target. Forward curves and trader positioning price in limited scope for tightening at the September, November, or December meetings, consistent with the committee’s cautious stance amid cooling labor market conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of England rate hike in 2026?
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
28% szansa
$47,142 Wol.
$47,142 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
28% szansa
$47,142 Wol.
$47,142 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Bank of England’s decision to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% through July 2026 on a 6-3 vote, with inflation easing to 2.6%, underpins the 72% market-implied probability against any hike this year. Weak UK growth near stall speed, moderating core pressures, and the MPC’s data-dependent guidance have outweighed upside risks from volatile Middle East energy prices, which the Bank expects will push inflation higher later in 2026 before a medium-term return to the 2% target. Forward curves and trader positioning price in limited scope for tightening at the September, November, or December meetings, consistent with the committee’s cautious stance amid cooling labor market conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$47,142Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Bank of England’s decision to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% through July 2026 on a 6-3 vote, with inflation easing to 2.6%, underpins the 72% market-implied probability against any hike this year. Weak UK growth near stall speed, moderating core pressures, and the MPC’s data-dependent guidance have outweighed upside risks from volatile Middle East energy prices, which the Bank expects will push inflation higher later in 2026 before a medium-term return to the 2% target. Forward curves and trader positioning price in limited scope for tightening at the September, November, or December meetings, consistent with the committee’s cautious stance amid cooling labor market conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$47,142Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Bank of England’s decision to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% through July 2026 on a 6-3 vote, with inflation easing to 2.6%, underpins the 72% market-implied probability against any hike this year. Weak UK growth near stall speed, moderating core pressures, and the MPC’s data-dependent guidance have outweighed upside risks from volatile Middle East energy prices, which the Bank expects will push inflation higher later in 2026 before a medium-term return to the 2% target. Forward curves and trader positioning price in limited scope for tightening at the September, November, or December meetings, consistent with the committee’s cautious stance amid cooling labor market conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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