Christine Lagarde’s ECB presidency runs through October 2027, and her recent statements have reinforced expectations that she will remain in office through the end of 2026. In late September interviews, she indicated any potential early departure would be limited to a few months at most while explicitly confirming she will still serve in 2027, with no binding timeline or announcement for a 2026 exit. Euro-area governments have begun succession planning focused on a 2027 transition package that includes other executive board roles, amid ongoing policy decisions and geopolitical uncertainty. Traders therefore assign roughly three-quarters probability against her leaving before December 31, 2026, consistent with the absence of confirmed triggers or political agreements that would force resolution inside the current year.