An ongoing Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, driven by the Bundibugyo virus since May 2026, has produced nearly 5,000 confirmed cases and over 2,300 deaths by mid-August, prompting a WHO public health emergency declaration. Trader consensus on "no pandemic" reflects effective containment through surveillance, contact tracing, isolation, and border measures, with Uganda declaring its portion resolved and no sustained international spread beyond the region. Official data from CDC and WHO confirm low risk outside affected zones despite conflict-related challenges. A realistic shift could occur only if control efforts collapse amid insecurity or if undetected cross-border chains emerge, though current epidemiological trends and response infrastructure make global escalation improbable before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% szansa
$692,028 Wol.
$692,028 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% szansa
$692,028 Wol.
$692,028 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.An ongoing Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, driven by the Bundibugyo virus since May 2026, has produced nearly 5,000 confirmed cases and over 2,300 deaths by mid-August, prompting a WHO public health emergency declaration. Trader consensus on "no pandemic" reflects effective containment through surveillance, contact tracing, isolation, and border measures, with Uganda declaring its portion resolved and no sustained international spread beyond the region. Official data from CDC and WHO confirm low risk outside affected zones despite conflict-related challenges. A realistic shift could occur only if control efforts collapse amid insecurity or if undetected cross-border chains emerge, though current epidemiological trends and response infrastructure make global escalation improbable before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$692,028Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.An ongoing Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, driven by the Bundibugyo virus since May 2026, has produced nearly 5,000 confirmed cases and over 2,300 deaths by mid-August, prompting a WHO public health emergency declaration. Trader consensus on "no pandemic" reflects effective containment through surveillance, contact tracing, isolation, and border measures, with Uganda declaring its portion resolved and no sustained international spread beyond the region. Official data from CDC and WHO confirm low risk outside affected zones despite conflict-related challenges. A realistic shift could occur only if control efforts collapse amid insecurity or if undetected cross-border chains emerge, though current epidemiological trends and response infrastructure make global escalation improbable before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$692,028Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...An ongoing Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, driven by the Bundibugyo virus since May 2026, has produced nearly 5,000 confirmed cases and over 2,300 deaths by mid-August, prompting a WHO public health emergency declaration. Trader consensus on "no pandemic" reflects effective containment through surveillance, contact tracing, isolation, and border measures, with Uganda declaring its portion resolved and no sustained international spread beyond the region. Official data from CDC and WHO confirm low risk outside affected zones despite conflict-related challenges. A realistic shift could occur only if control efforts collapse amid insecurity or if undetected cross-border chains emerge, though current epidemiological trends and response infrastructure make global escalation improbable before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania