Edi Rama's Socialist Party secured a strengthened parliamentary majority with 83 of 140 seats in Albania's May 2025 elections, enabling his fourth consecutive term as prime minister. This outcome, with the next scheduled parliamentary vote not due until 2029, provides structural stability that underpins trader consensus on his continued tenure through 2026. Ongoing protests in mid-2026 over a major resort development have prompted calls for his resignation, yet Rama has affirmed continuation of key projects without any confirmed shift in government control or institutional challenge. The implied probability reflects this combination of electoral strength and absence of immediate removal mechanisms.