Mercedes' commanding early-season lead in the 2026 constructors' standings, built on consistent podium sweeps and strong qualifying pace from drivers like Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, has driven the market's heavy tilt toward the team. Recent upgrades at McLaren have narrowed the gap in races such as Miami, lifting its implied probability amid improved one-lap pace and race pace, while Ferrari maintains a solid but distant position through reliable points hauls from Charles Leclerc. Red Bull's relative struggles with development pace and midfield battles have kept its odds suppressed, with backmarkers like Williams, Alpine, and the new Cadillac entry showing limited upside based on current form and reliability trends. These dynamics reflect trader consensus on how ongoing chassis and power unit evolutions could shift the championship trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMercedes 75%
McLaren 15.8%
Ferrari 6%
Red Bull Racing 1.4%
$18,787,291 Wol.
$18,787,291 Wol.

Mercedes
75%

McLaren
16%

Ferrari
6%

Red Bull Racing
1%

Williams
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
Mercedes 75%
McLaren 15.8%
Ferrari 6%
Red Bull Racing 1.4%
$18,787,291 Wol.
$18,787,291 Wol.

Mercedes
75%

McLaren
16%

Ferrari
6%

Red Bull Racing
1%

Williams
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' commanding early-season lead in the 2026 constructors' standings, built on consistent podium sweeps and strong qualifying pace from drivers like Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, has driven the market's heavy tilt toward the team. Recent upgrades at McLaren have narrowed the gap in races such as Miami, lifting its implied probability amid improved one-lap pace and race pace, while Ferrari maintains a solid but distant position through reliable points hauls from Charles Leclerc. Red Bull's relative struggles with development pace and midfield battles have kept its odds suppressed, with backmarkers like Williams, Alpine, and the new Cadillac entry showing limited upside based on current form and reliability trends. These dynamics reflect trader consensus on how ongoing chassis and power unit evolutions could shift the championship trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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