Skip to main content
icon for Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

icon for Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

6% szansa
Polymarket

$25,533 Wol.

6% szansa
Polymarket

$25,533 Wol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus strongly favors no hantavirus outbreak by June 30, with 94% implied probability on "No," driven by the contained scope of the recent Andes hantavirus cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship. As of May 14, WHO reports 11 cases (eight confirmed, two probable, one suspected) of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS), including three deaths, but no evidence of ongoing community transmission despite multi-country involvement. CDC surveillance confirms zero U.S. cases among 41 monitored exposures across 12 states, aligning with hantavirus epidemiology: primarily rodent-borne with rare, limited human-to-human spread even for Andes virus. Escalation risks include undetected rodent infestations in ports or confirmed transmission chains, with key updates from WHO disease outbreak news and CDC advisories expected soon.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$25,533
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus strongly favors no hantavirus outbreak by June 30, with 94% implied probability on "No," driven by the contained scope of the recent Andes hantavirus cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship. As of May 14, WHO reports 11 cases (eight confirmed, two probable, one suspected) of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS), including three deaths, but no evidence of ongoing community transmission despite multi-country involvement. CDC surveillance confirms zero U.S. cases among 41 monitored exposures across 12 states, aligning with hantavirus epidemiology: primarily rodent-borne with rare, limited human-to-human spread even for Andes virus. Escalation risks include undetected rodent infestations in ports or confirmed transmission chains, with key updates from WHO disease outbreak news and CDC advisories expected soon.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$25,533
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 6% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 6¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 6% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?" wygenerował $25.5K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 11, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?", wybierz, czy uważasz, że odpowiedź to "Tak" czy "Nie". Każda strona ma bieżącą cenę odzwierciedlającą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" i wynik okaże się "Tak", każdy udział wypłaci $1. Jeśli okaże się "Nie", Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem, jeśli chcesz zrealizować zysk lub ograniczyć stratę.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?" to 6% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 6% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.