Strong El Niño conditions have generated persistent high wind shear across the Atlantic main development region, preventing the intensification of the six named storms formed so far into hurricanes as of September 21. This has produced the latest first hurricane on record in the satellite era, with accumulated cyclone energy at just 5.7—roughly 5% of the long-term average—and aligns with NOAA’s below-normal seasonal outlook of 2–6 hurricanes. Historical analogs like 1907 and 1914 show zero-hurricane seasons are possible though rare, while the two-plus months remaining through November 30 offer limited windows for late development under current steering patterns and model consensus. Trader consensus reflects this subdued outlook, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 0–3 total hurricanes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
1-3 61%
0 36%
4-6 3.9%
7+ <1%
$37,876 Wol.
$37,876 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
36%
1-3
61%
4-6
4%
7+
1%
1-3 61%
0 36%
4-6 3.9%
7+ <1%
$37,876 Wol.
$37,876 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
$18,865 Wol.
36%
1-3
$6,102 Wol.
61%
4-6
$10,197 Wol.
4%
7+
$2,712 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.Strong El Niño conditions have generated persistent high wind shear across the Atlantic main development region, preventing the intensification of the six named storms formed so far into hurricanes as of September 21. This has produced the latest first hurricane on record in the satellite era, with accumulated cyclone energy at just 5.7—roughly 5% of the long-term average—and aligns with NOAA’s below-normal seasonal outlook of 2–6 hurricanes. Historical analogs like 1907 and 1914 show zero-hurricane seasons are possible though rare, while the two-plus months remaining through November 30 offer limited windows for late development under current steering patterns and model consensus. Trader consensus reflects this subdued outlook, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 0–3 total hurricanes.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$37,876Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.Strong El Niño conditions have generated persistent high wind shear across the Atlantic main development region, preventing the intensification of the six named storms formed so far into hurricanes as of September 21. This has produced the latest first hurricane on record in the satellite era, with accumulated cyclone energy at just 5.7—roughly 5% of the long-term average—and aligns with NOAA’s below-normal seasonal outlook of 2–6 hurricanes. Historical analogs like 1907 and 1914 show zero-hurricane seasons are possible though rare, while the two-plus months remaining through November 30 offer limited windows for late development under current steering patterns and model consensus. Trader consensus reflects this subdued outlook, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 0–3 total hurricanes.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Wolumen
$37,876Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Strong El Niño conditions have generated persistent high wind shear across the Atlantic main development region, preventing the intensification of the six named storms formed so far into hurricanes as of September 21. This has produced the latest first hurricane on record in the satellite era, with accumulated cyclone energy at just 5.7—roughly 5% of the long-term average—and aligns with NOAA’s below-normal seasonal outlook of 2–6 hurricanes. Historical analogs like 1907 and 1914 show zero-hurricane seasons are possible though rare, while the two-plus months remaining through November 30 offer limited windows for late development under current steering patterns and model consensus. Trader consensus reflects this subdued outlook, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 0–3 total hurricanes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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