Recent RBI projections pegging FY27 CPI inflation at 4.6% have anchored trader sentiment toward the 4.50%+ outcome for India’s 2026 annual rate, now carrying an 82% market-implied probability. April 2026 headline inflation printed at 3.48%, extending a six-month climb driven by food prices at 4.20%, while core measures stayed contained near 3.4% under the new 2024 base-year series. Goldman Sachs and Moody’s forecasts of 4.5–4.8% reflect expectations of gradual firming from energy and monsoon risks, consistent with the Reserve Bank’s 4% target and 2–6% band. With the fiscal year still early, these official and analyst anchors continue to outweigh lower-band probabilities amid contained yet rising price pressures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIndia Annual Inflation 2026
India Annual Inflation 2026
4.50%+ 82%
1.50% to 2.24% 9.7%
3.00% to 3.74% 7.1%
2.25% to 2.99% 7.0%
$60,622 Wol.
$60,622 Wol.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
2%
1.50% to 2.24%
10%
2.25% to 2.99%
7%
3.00% to 3.74%
7%
3.75% to 4.49%
9%
4.50%+
82%
4.50%+ 82%
1.50% to 2.24% 9.7%
3.00% to 3.74% 7.1%
2.25% to 2.99% 7.0%
$60,622 Wol.
$60,622 Wol.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$806 Wol.
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
$525 Wol.
2%
1.50% to 2.24%
$415 Wol.
10%
2.25% to 2.99%
$23,764 Wol.
7%
3.00% to 3.74%
$517 Wol.
7%
3.75% to 4.49%
$23,340 Wol.
9%
4.50%+
$11,254 Wol.
82%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent RBI projections pegging FY27 CPI inflation at 4.6% have anchored trader sentiment toward the 4.50%+ outcome for India’s 2026 annual rate, now carrying an 82% market-implied probability. April 2026 headline inflation printed at 3.48%, extending a six-month climb driven by food prices at 4.20%, while core measures stayed contained near 3.4% under the new 2024 base-year series. Goldman Sachs and Moody’s forecasts of 4.5–4.8% reflect expectations of gradual firming from energy and monsoon risks, consistent with the Reserve Bank’s 4% target and 2–6% band. With the fiscal year still early, these official and analyst anchors continue to outweigh lower-band probabilities amid contained yet rising price pressures.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Rynek otwarty: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Wolumen
$60,622Data zakończenia
Jan 12, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent RBI projections pegging FY27 CPI inflation at 4.6% have anchored trader sentiment toward the 4.50%+ outcome for India’s 2026 annual rate, now carrying an 82% market-implied probability. April 2026 headline inflation printed at 3.48%, extending a six-month climb driven by food prices at 4.20%, while core measures stayed contained near 3.4% under the new 2024 base-year series. Goldman Sachs and Moody’s forecasts of 4.5–4.8% reflect expectations of gradual firming from energy and monsoon risks, consistent with the Reserve Bank’s 4% target and 2–6% band. With the fiscal year still early, these official and analyst anchors continue to outweigh lower-band probabilities amid contained yet rising price pressures.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Wolumen
$60,622Data zakończenia
Jan 12, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent RBI projections pegging FY27 CPI inflation at 4.6% have anchored trader sentiment toward the 4.50%+ outcome for India’s 2026 annual rate, now carrying an 82% market-implied probability. April 2026 headline inflation printed at 3.48%, extending a six-month climb driven by food prices at 4.20%, while core measures stayed contained near 3.4% under the new 2024 base-year series. Goldman Sachs and Moody’s forecasts of 4.5–4.8% reflect expectations of gradual firming from energy and monsoon risks, consistent with the Reserve Bank’s 4% target and 2–6% band. With the fiscal year still early, these official and analyst anchors continue to outweigh lower-band probabilities amid contained yet rising price pressures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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