India's Reserve Bank of India projected average CPI inflation at 4.6% for fiscal 2026-27 in its April monetary policy report, citing elevated risks from Middle East tensions and commodity price volatility. This official outlook, paired with recent upward revisions from firms such as Goldman Sachs to 4.5%, has anchored trader consensus around the 4.50%+ band at 82% implied probability. April 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.48% year-over-year, reflecting early supply-side pressures while remaining within the RBI's 2-6% target band. Upcoming household inflation expectations surveys and the next policy review could provide further signals on whether base effects or global oil movements push the annual print higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIndia Annual Inflation 2026
India Annual Inflation 2026
4.50%+ 82%
1.50% to 2.24% 9.7%
3.00% to 3.74% 7.1%
2.25% to 2.99% 6.9%
$60,622 Wol.
$60,622 Wol.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
1%
1.50% to 2.24%
10%
2.25% to 2.99%
7%
3.00% to 3.74%
7%
3.75% to 4.49%
9%
4.50%+
82%
4.50%+ 82%
1.50% to 2.24% 9.7%
3.00% to 3.74% 7.1%
2.25% to 2.99% 6.9%
$60,622 Wol.
$60,622 Wol.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$806 Wol.
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
$525 Wol.
1%
1.50% to 2.24%
$415 Wol.
10%
2.25% to 2.99%
$23,764 Wol.
7%
3.00% to 3.74%
$517 Wol.
7%
3.75% to 4.49%
$23,340 Wol.
9%
4.50%+
$11,254 Wol.
82%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's Reserve Bank of India projected average CPI inflation at 4.6% for fiscal 2026-27 in its April monetary policy report, citing elevated risks from Middle East tensions and commodity price volatility. This official outlook, paired with recent upward revisions from firms such as Goldman Sachs to 4.5%, has anchored trader consensus around the 4.50%+ band at 82% implied probability. April 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.48% year-over-year, reflecting early supply-side pressures while remaining within the RBI's 2-6% target band. Upcoming household inflation expectations surveys and the next policy review could provide further signals on whether base effects or global oil movements push the annual print higher.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Rynek otwarty: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Wolumen
$60,622Data zakończenia
Jan 12, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's Reserve Bank of India projected average CPI inflation at 4.6% for fiscal 2026-27 in its April monetary policy report, citing elevated risks from Middle East tensions and commodity price volatility. This official outlook, paired with recent upward revisions from firms such as Goldman Sachs to 4.5%, has anchored trader consensus around the 4.50%+ band at 82% implied probability. April 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.48% year-over-year, reflecting early supply-side pressures while remaining within the RBI's 2-6% target band. Upcoming household inflation expectations surveys and the next policy review could provide further signals on whether base effects or global oil movements push the annual print higher.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Wolumen
$60,622Data zakończenia
Jan 12, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...India's Reserve Bank of India projected average CPI inflation at 4.6% for fiscal 2026-27 in its April monetary policy report, citing elevated risks from Middle East tensions and commodity price volatility. This official outlook, paired with recent upward revisions from firms such as Goldman Sachs to 4.5%, has anchored trader consensus around the 4.50%+ band at 82% implied probability. April 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.48% year-over-year, reflecting early supply-side pressures while remaining within the RBI's 2-6% target band. Upcoming household inflation expectations surveys and the next policy review could provide further signals on whether base effects or global oil movements push the annual print higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania