Following the February 28, 2026, assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli strikes, Iran's Assembly of Experts convened and elected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March. A provisional three-member council managed interim powers under constitutional procedures until the permanent selection. Key institutions including the presidency, judiciary, and Revolutionary Guards have reaffirmed allegiance to the new leadership, maintaining continuity in the theocratic structure despite external pressure for broader shifts. No further high-level vacancies or succession votes are scheduled in the near term, though diplomatic and military developments in the ongoing regional conflict continue to shape internal stability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$13,655,425 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
31 maja
6%
30 czerwca
13%
31 grudnia
34%
$13,655,425 Wol.
31 maja
$1,981,489 Wol.
6%
30 czerwca
$1,083,719 Wol.
13%
31 grudnia
$2,395,389 Wol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the February 28, 2026, assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli strikes, Iran's Assembly of Experts convened and elected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March. A provisional three-member council managed interim powers under constitutional procedures until the permanent selection. Key institutions including the presidency, judiciary, and Revolutionary Guards have reaffirmed allegiance to the new leadership, maintaining continuity in the theocratic structure despite external pressure for broader shifts. No further high-level vacancies or succession votes are scheduled in the near term, though diplomatic and military developments in the ongoing regional conflict continue to shape internal stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,655,425Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the February 28, 2026, assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli strikes, Iran's Assembly of Experts convened and elected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March. A provisional three-member council managed interim powers under constitutional procedures until the permanent selection. Key institutions including the presidency, judiciary, and Revolutionary Guards have reaffirmed allegiance to the new leadership, maintaining continuity in the theocratic structure despite external pressure for broader shifts. No further high-level vacancies or succession votes are scheduled in the near term, though diplomatic and military developments in the ongoing regional conflict continue to shape internal stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$13,655,425Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the February 28, 2026, assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli strikes, Iran's Assembly of Experts convened and elected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March. A provisional three-member council managed interim powers under constitutional procedures until the permanent selection. Key institutions including the presidency, judiciary, and Revolutionary Guards have reaffirmed allegiance to the new leadership, maintaining continuity in the theocratic structure despite external pressure for broader shifts. No further high-level vacancies or succession votes are scheduled in the near term, though diplomatic and military developments in the ongoing regional conflict continue to shape internal stability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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