Iran's political landscape has shifted sharply following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli military operations. The Assembly of Experts quickly installed his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor, yet the new leader's prolonged public absence and reliance on written statements have fueled questions about effective control, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps assuming greater authority over security and policy decisions. President Masoud Pezeshkian has emphasized institutional unity through recent meetings and diplomatic outreach, while economic strain from wartime losses and sanctions relief talks continue to test stability. Upcoming negotiations or any escalation in internal security challenges could influence whether further leadership adjustments occur by year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$13,670,110 Wol.
May 31, 2026
31 maja
6%
30 czerwca
13%
31 grudnia
34%
$13,670,110 Wol.
31 maja
$1,987,433 Wol.
6%
30 czerwca
$1,089,384 Wol.
13%
31 grudnia
$2,397,412 Wol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's political landscape has shifted sharply following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli military operations. The Assembly of Experts quickly installed his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor, yet the new leader's prolonged public absence and reliance on written statements have fueled questions about effective control, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps assuming greater authority over security and policy decisions. President Masoud Pezeshkian has emphasized institutional unity through recent meetings and diplomatic outreach, while economic strain from wartime losses and sanctions relief talks continue to test stability. Upcoming negotiations or any escalation in internal security challenges could influence whether further leadership adjustments occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,670,110Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's political landscape has shifted sharply following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli military operations. The Assembly of Experts quickly installed his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor, yet the new leader's prolonged public absence and reliance on written statements have fueled questions about effective control, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps assuming greater authority over security and policy decisions. President Masoud Pezeshkian has emphasized institutional unity through recent meetings and diplomatic outreach, while economic strain from wartime losses and sanctions relief talks continue to test stability. Upcoming negotiations or any escalation in internal security challenges could influence whether further leadership adjustments occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$13,670,110Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's political landscape has shifted sharply following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli military operations. The Assembly of Experts quickly installed his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor, yet the new leader's prolonged public absence and reliance on written statements have fueled questions about effective control, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps assuming greater authority over security and policy decisions. President Masoud Pezeshkian has emphasized institutional unity through recent meetings and diplomatic outreach, while economic strain from wartime losses and sanctions relief talks continue to test stability. Upcoming negotiations or any escalation in internal security challenges could influence whether further leadership adjustments occur by year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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