Syria’s post-Assad government has pursued US-mediated security talks with Israel since early 2026, including a January Paris agreement establishing an intelligence-sharing mechanism and a high-level August 23 meeting in Jordan between Mossad chief Roman Gofman and Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani focused on halting strikes, arrests, and restoring the 1974 disengagement line. Damascus has repeatedly affirmed commitment to diplomacy and withdrawal to pre-December 2024 positions, while Israel has conducted multiple strikes and maintained forces in southern Syria to enforce red lines on Turkish activity, demilitarization zones, and Syrian military capabilities. These conflicting priorities, alongside US pressure for de-escalation, continue to shape trader assessments of whether further formal diplomatic engagement will occur within the market’s timeframe.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSeptember 30
21%
October 31
48%
$9,500 Wol.
September 30
21%
October 31
48%
A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement.
A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. “The same day” means the same calendar day local time at the meeting location.
Sessions, proceedings, or convenings of standing international organizations, treaty bodies, or recurring multilateral summits or conferences (e.g., the United Nations General Assembly, G7, and G20 summits) do not qualify, unless a qualifying and deliberate diplomatic meeting between representatives of the listed countries separately held alongside such a convening.
The following do not qualify as either a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting: chance encounters; standalone exchanges limited to greetings, courtesies, or photo opportunities; meetings conducted remotely, by telephone, or by any other means where the relevant representatives are not physically present at the same facility, venue, or city on the same day; discussions involving persons not authorized to engage in diplomacy or negotiation on behalf of their respective governments.
The occurrence of a qualifying meeting must be confirmed by the resolution sources by the resolution date.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Syria and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 8:53 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement.
A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. “The same day” means the same calendar day local time at the meeting location.
Sessions, proceedings, or convenings of standing international organizations, treaty bodies, or recurring multilateral summits or conferences (e.g., the United Nations General Assembly, G7, and G20 summits) do not qualify, unless a qualifying and deliberate diplomatic meeting between representatives of the listed countries separately held alongside such a convening.
The following do not qualify as either a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting: chance encounters; standalone exchanges limited to greetings, courtesies, or photo opportunities; meetings conducted remotely, by telephone, or by any other means where the relevant representatives are not physically present at the same facility, venue, or city on the same day; discussions involving persons not authorized to engage in diplomacy or negotiation on behalf of their respective governments.
The occurrence of a qualifying meeting must be confirmed by the resolution sources by the resolution date.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Syria and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Syria’s post-Assad government has pursued US-mediated security talks with Israel since early 2026, including a January Paris agreement establishing an intelligence-sharing mechanism and a high-level August 23 meeting in Jordan between Mossad chief Roman Gofman and Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani focused on halting strikes, arrests, and restoring the 1974 disengagement line. Damascus has repeatedly affirmed commitment to diplomacy and withdrawal to pre-December 2024 positions, while Israel has conducted multiple strikes and maintained forces in southern Syria to enforce red lines on Turkish activity, demilitarization zones, and Syrian military capabilities. These conflicting priorities, alongside US pressure for de-escalation, continue to shape trader assessments of whether further formal diplomatic engagement will occur within the market’s timeframe.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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