Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models point to a minimum temperature of 27–29°C on June 22 amid typical southwest monsoon conditions and warm South China Sea sea surface temperatures that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical June overnight lows cluster tightly in the 26–29°C band, with the urban heat island effect further elevating readings even under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 27–29°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures provide little downside risk for cooler readings. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 22?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 22?
28°C 27%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
30°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 22, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
16%
27°C
20%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
17%
31°C
13%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 27%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
30°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 22, 2026
23°C or below
$29 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$41 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$41 Wol.
1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
16%
27°C
$0 Wol.
20%
28°C
$0 Wol.
27%
29°C
$0 Wol.
27%
30°C
$0 Wol.
17%
31°C
$0 Wol.
13%
32°C
$41 Wol.
1%
33°C or higher
$524 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models point to a minimum temperature of 27–29°C on June 22 amid typical southwest monsoon conditions and warm South China Sea sea surface temperatures that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical June overnight lows cluster tightly in the 26–29°C band, with the urban heat island effect further elevating readings even under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 27–29°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures provide little downside risk for cooler readings. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$676Data zakończenia
Jun 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models point to a minimum temperature of 27–29°C on June 22 amid typical southwest monsoon conditions and warm South China Sea sea surface temperatures that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical June overnight lows cluster tightly in the 26–29°C band, with the urban heat island effect further elevating readings even under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 27–29°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures provide little downside risk for cooler readings. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$676Data zakończenia
Jun 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models point to a minimum temperature of 27–29°C on June 22 amid typical southwest monsoon conditions and warm South China Sea sea surface temperatures that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical June overnight lows cluster tightly in the 26–29°C band, with the urban heat island effect further elevating readings even under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 27–29°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures provide little downside risk for cooler readings. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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