Luka Doncic leads the 2026-27 NBA points per game race at 34-36 PPG through the first four games with the Lakers, driving his 59.5% implied probability as the season-long leader. His high-usage role following roster changes has produced multiple 40-plus point outputs, including a 52-point performance, positioning him ahead of peers in early scoring volume. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander sits at 17.6% after averaging 27.3 PPG early while managing a deeper Thunder rotation, while Jayson Tatum at 10.5% reflects Boston's more balanced attack. Other contenders like Anthony Edwards remain in the single digits amid similar distribution of scoring opportunities league-wide. These probabilities reflect trader consensus on sustained usage and efficiency trends in the opening weeks.