Trader consensus assigns an 86% implied probability to no Gemini Pro model release by August 31, reflecting Google's pattern of repeated delays for the flagship 3.5 Pro variant first promised for June after its May I/O announcement. Only lighter Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.7 Flash made generally available on August 13, have shipped recently, while 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing with a "coming soon" status on official pages. This positions the outcome ahead of scattered August dates, as the absence of confirmed timelines or developer previews sustains skepticism about an imminent launch amid broader competitive pressure from other labs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 31 85.9%
August 27 4.7%
August 31 3.6%
August 26 3.5%
$267,405 Wol.
$267,405 Wol.
Aug 10, 2026
August 16
<1%
August 17
1%
August 18
1%
August 19
1%
August 20
1%
August 21
<1%
August 22
<1%
August 23
1%
August 24
1%
August 25
1%
August 26
4%
August 27
5%
August 28
1%
August 29
<1%
August 30
<1%
August 31
4%
No release by August 31
86%
No release by August 31 85.9%
August 27 4.7%
August 31 3.6%
August 26 3.5%
$267,405 Wol.
$267,405 Wol.
Aug 10, 2026
August 16
$2,611 Wol.
<1%
August 17
$3,756 Wol.
1%
August 18
$3,980 Wol.
1%
August 19
$3,146 Wol.
1%
August 20
$2,786 Wol.
1%
August 21
$2,259 Wol.
<1%
August 22
$2,686 Wol.
<1%
August 23
$1,954 Wol.
1%
August 24
$4,463 Wol.
1%
August 25
$5,391 Wol.
1%
August 26
$4,370 Wol.
4%
August 27
$8,567 Wol.
5%
August 28
$4,001 Wol.
1%
August 29
$4,785 Wol.
<1%
August 30
$2,318 Wol.
<1%
August 31
$7,638 Wol.
4%
No release by August 31
$51,114 Wol.
86%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns an 86% implied probability to no Gemini Pro model release by August 31, reflecting Google's pattern of repeated delays for the flagship 3.5 Pro variant first promised for June after its May I/O announcement. Only lighter Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.7 Flash made generally available on August 13, have shipped recently, while 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing with a "coming soon" status on official pages. This positions the outcome ahead of scattered August dates, as the absence of confirmed timelines or developer previews sustains skepticism about an imminent launch amid broader competitive pressure from other labs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$267,405Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns an 86% implied probability to no Gemini Pro model release by August 31, reflecting Google's pattern of repeated delays for the flagship 3.5 Pro variant first promised for June after its May I/O announcement. Only lighter Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.7 Flash made generally available on August 13, have shipped recently, while 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing with a "coming soon" status on official pages. This positions the outcome ahead of scattered August dates, as the absence of confirmed timelines or developer previews sustains skepticism about an imminent launch amid broader competitive pressure from other labs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$267,405Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus assigns an 86% implied probability to no Gemini Pro model release by August 31, reflecting Google's pattern of repeated delays for the flagship 3.5 Pro variant first promised for June after its May I/O announcement. Only lighter Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.7 Flash made generally available on August 13, have shipped recently, while 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing with a "coming soon" status on official pages. This positions the outcome ahead of scattered August dates, as the absence of confirmed timelines or developer previews sustains skepticism about an imminent launch amid broader competitive pressure from other labs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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