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Polityka·Nagrody

Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026

icon for Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026
Polityka·Nagrody

Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026

Donald Trump 10%

Julia Nawalna 8%

Wołodymyr Zełenski 6.0%

UNRWA 5.0%

Polymarket

$17,651,372 Wol.

Donald Trump 10%

Julia Nawalna 8%

Wołodymyr Zełenski 6.0%

UNRWA 5.0%

Polymarket

$17,651,372 Wol.

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$3,371,693 Wol.

10%

icon for Julia Nawalna

Julia Nawalna

$157,150 Wol.

8%

icon for Wołodymyr Zełenski

Wołodymyr Zełenski

$499,632 Wol.

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$1,945,832 Wol.

5%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$611,010 Wol.

4%

icon for Papież Leon XIV

Papież Leon XIV

$698,528 Wol.

3%

icon for Międzynarodowy Trybunał Sprawiedliwości

Międzynarodowy Trybunał Sprawiedliwości

$760,331 Wol.

2%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$544,498 Wol.

2%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,140,500 Wol.

1%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,195,007 Wol.

1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$906,035 Wol.

1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$709,117 Wol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$949,742 Wol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$419,299 Wol.

1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$452,521 Wol.

1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$816,353 Wol.

1%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$501,173 Wol.

1%

icon for Władimir Putin

Władimir Putin

$744,772 Wol.

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$731,615 Wol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanjahu

Benjamin Netanjahu

$496,564 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize field unusually open following the confirmation of 287 nominees in late April, trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects fragmented momentum among a wide array of candidates. Donald Trump holds the narrow lead at 9.5% implied probability amid ongoing diplomatic speculation, while Yulia Navalnaya and Volodymyr Zelenskyy sit close behind at 7.5% and 6.0%, respectively, as bettors weigh visibility in human rights and conflict-resolution storylines. The spread across organizations like UNRWA and figures from varied regions highlights the Norwegian Nobel Committee's pattern of surprising selections shaped by shifting global priorities. With the October 9 announcement still months away, fresh advocacy milestones or breakthroughs could swiftly shift positioning in this competitive landscape.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Wolumen
$17,651,372
Data zakończenia
Oct 10, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize field unusually open following the confirmation of 287 nominees in late April, trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects fragmented momentum among a wide array of candidates. Donald Trump holds the narrow lead at 9.5% implied probability amid ongoing diplomatic speculation, while Yulia Navalnaya and Volodymyr Zelenskyy sit close behind at 7.5% and 6.0%, respectively, as bettors weigh visibility in human rights and conflict-resolution storylines. The spread across organizations like UNRWA and figures from varied regions highlights the Norwegian Nobel Committee's pattern of surprising selections shaped by shifting global priorities. With the October 9 announcement still months away, fresh advocacy milestones or breakthroughs could swiftly shift positioning in this competitive landscape.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Wolumen
$17,651,372
Data zakończenia
Oct 10, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 20 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Donald Trump" z 10%, za nim "Julia Nawalna" z 8%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 10¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 10% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" wygenerował $17.7 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Oct 16, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026", przeglądaj 20 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" jest "Donald Trump" z 10%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 10% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Julia Nawalna" z 8%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.