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Polityka·Nagrody

Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026

icon for Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026
Polityka·Nagrody

Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026

Julia Nawalna 9%

Wołodymyr Zełenski 5.8%

UNRWA 4.0%

Papież Leon XIV 3.1%

Polymarket

$23,353,136 Wol.

Julia Nawalna 9%

Wołodymyr Zełenski 5.8%

UNRWA 4.0%

Papież Leon XIV 3.1%

Polymarket

$23,353,136 Wol.

icon for Julia Nawalna

Julia Nawalna

$289,342 Wol.

9%

icon for Wołodymyr Zełenski

Wołodymyr Zełenski

$790,020 Wol.

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,043,078 Wol.

4%

icon for Papież Leon XIV

Papież Leon XIV

$809,955 Wol.

3%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$4,336,228 Wol.

3%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$782,546 Wol.

2%

icon for Międzynarodowy Trybunał Sprawiedliwości

Międzynarodowy Trybunał Sprawiedliwości

$898,121 Wol.

2%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$849,322 Wol.

1%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$685,776 Wol.

1%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,451,245 Wol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,261,796 Wol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$626,057 Wol.

1%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,433,875 Wol.

1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$1,244,731 Wol.

1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$866,052 Wol.

1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,053,524 Wol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanjahu

Benjamin Netanjahu

$690,455 Wol.

<1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,172,458 Wol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$1,167,136 Wol.

<1%

icon for Władimir Putin

Władimir Putin

$901,417 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize reflects a fragmented field where no single figure has built decisive momentum, leaving the top implied probabilities clustered below 10%. Yulia Navalnaya’s narrow lead stems from sustained international attention on her human-rights advocacy following Alexei Navalny’s death, though the secretive Nobel process and lack of recent high-profile breakthroughs keep her position modest. Volodymyr Zelenskyy and UNRWA trail closely amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, while Pope Leo XIV and others register as longer shots driven by niche narratives rather than broad consensus. With nominations closed and the October announcement still months away, traders are pricing in the committee’s history of surprising choices over established frontrunners, making late diplomatic developments or public campaigns the most likely swing factors.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Wolumen
$23,353,136
Data zakończenia
Oct 10, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize reflects a fragmented field where no single figure has built decisive momentum, leaving the top implied probabilities clustered below 10%. Yulia Navalnaya’s narrow lead stems from sustained international attention on her human-rights advocacy following Alexei Navalny’s death, though the secretive Nobel process and lack of recent high-profile breakthroughs keep her position modest. Volodymyr Zelenskyy and UNRWA trail closely amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, while Pope Leo XIV and others register as longer shots driven by niche narratives rather than broad consensus. With nominations closed and the October announcement still months away, traders are pricing in the committee’s history of surprising choices over established frontrunners, making late diplomatic developments or public campaigns the most likely swing factors.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Wolumen
$23,353,136
Data zakończenia
Oct 10, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 20 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Julia Nawalna" z 9%, za nim "Wołodymyr Zełenski" z 6%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 9¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 9% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" wygenerował $23.4 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Oct 16, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026", przeglądaj 20 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

To szeroko otwarty rynek. Obecnym liderem dla "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" jest "Julia Nawalna" z zaledwie 9%, a za nim "Wołodymyr Zełenski" z 6%. Brak wyniku z wyraźną większością — traderzy widzą to jako wysoce niepewne, co może stwarzać unikalne okazje handlowe. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, więc dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby obserwować ewolucję prawdopodobieństw.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Pokojowa Nagroda Nobla 2026" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.