Mid-May travel patterns have anchored trader sentiment around the 17.5-18 million TSA passenger range, reflecting steady weekday screenings near 2.5 million and typical weekend dips that average into this band. Consistent checkpoint data through early May shows no major disruptions, bolstered by ongoing air travel recovery and a balanced mix of business and leisure flyers ahead of the Memorial Day holiday surge. Higher jet fuel costs have slightly cooled demand without pushing volumes dramatically lower, while early summer schedules maintain overall stability. Traders are monitoring the final days of the period for any late corporate travel spikes or weather-related shifts that could nudge totals toward the upper end of the favored outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNumber of TSA passengers May 11 - May 17?
Number of TSA passengers May 11 - May 17?
17.5-18m 95%
16.5-17m 48%
18-18.5m 48%
<16.5m 45.0%
$1,066 Wol.
$1,066 Wol.
May 17, 2026
<16.5m
45%
16.5-17m
48%
17-17.5m
48%
17.5-18m
73%
18-18.5m
48%
>18.5m
25%
17.5-18m 95%
16.5-17m 48%
18-18.5m 48%
<16.5m 45.0%
$1,066 Wol.
$1,066 Wol.
May 17, 2026
<16.5m
$427 Wol.
45%
16.5-17m
$30 Wol.
48%
17-17.5m
$105 Wol.
48%
17.5-18m
$6 Wol.
73%
18-18.5m
$3 Wol.
48%
>18.5m
$495 Wol.
25%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Mid-May travel patterns have anchored trader sentiment around the 17.5-18 million TSA passenger range, reflecting steady weekday screenings near 2.5 million and typical weekend dips that average into this band. Consistent checkpoint data through early May shows no major disruptions, bolstered by ongoing air travel recovery and a balanced mix of business and leisure flyers ahead of the Memorial Day holiday surge. Higher jet fuel costs have slightly cooled demand without pushing volumes dramatically lower, while early summer schedules maintain overall stability. Traders are monitoring the final days of the period for any late corporate travel spikes or weather-related shifts that could nudge totals toward the upper end of the favored outcome.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Rynek otwarty: May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,066Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Mid-May travel patterns have anchored trader sentiment around the 17.5-18 million TSA passenger range, reflecting steady weekday screenings near 2.5 million and typical weekend dips that average into this band. Consistent checkpoint data through early May shows no major disruptions, bolstered by ongoing air travel recovery and a balanced mix of business and leisure flyers ahead of the Memorial Day holiday surge. Higher jet fuel costs have slightly cooled demand without pushing volumes dramatically lower, while early summer schedules maintain overall stability. Traders are monitoring the final days of the period for any late corporate travel spikes or weather-related shifts that could nudge totals toward the upper end of the favored outcome.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Wolumen
$1,066Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mid-May travel patterns have anchored trader sentiment around the 17.5-18 million TSA passenger range, reflecting steady weekday screenings near 2.5 million and typical weekend dips that average into this band. Consistent checkpoint data through early May shows no major disruptions, bolstered by ongoing air travel recovery and a balanced mix of business and leisure flyers ahead of the Memorial Day holiday surge. Higher jet fuel costs have slightly cooled demand without pushing volumes dramatically lower, while early summer schedules maintain overall stability. Traders are monitoring the final days of the period for any late corporate travel spikes or weather-related shifts that could nudge totals toward the upper end of the favored outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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