The closely bunched probabilities among Alex Smalley, Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy capture the fluid leaderboard dynamics at Aronimink Golf Club, where Smalley holds a narrow lead after three rounds but remains within reach of several contenders. Recent form on the demanding Pennsylvania layout favors players with strong iron play and wedge control, while major championship experience gives Rahm, Aberg, and McIlroy realistic paths to close the gap. The deep field, including recent major winners and consistent PGA Tour performers, keeps implied probabilities tight as any late surge or mistake on the back nine can shift outcomes dramatically.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAlex Smalley 16.7%
Jon Rahm 14.5%
Ludvig Aberg 13.0%
Rory McIlroy 12.3%
$5,543,744 Wol.
$5,543,744 Wol.
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
13%
Rory McIlroy
12%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Nick Taylor
5%
Aaron Rai
4%
Patrick Reed
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Alex Smalley 16.7%
Jon Rahm 14.5%
Ludvig Aberg 13.0%
Rory McIlroy 12.3%
$5,543,744 Wol.
$5,543,744 Wol.
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
13%
Rory McIlroy
12%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Nick Taylor
5%
Aaron Rai
4%
Patrick Reed
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely bunched probabilities among Alex Smalley, Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy capture the fluid leaderboard dynamics at Aronimink Golf Club, where Smalley holds a narrow lead after three rounds but remains within reach of several contenders. Recent form on the demanding Pennsylvania layout favors players with strong iron play and wedge control, while major championship experience gives Rahm, Aberg, and McIlroy realistic paths to close the gap. The deep field, including recent major winners and consistent PGA Tour performers, keeps implied probabilities tight as any late surge or mistake on the back nine can shift outcomes dramatically.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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