The 2026 PGA Championship presents a tightly bunched leaderboard in trader consensus, with Alex Smalley, Jon Rahm, and Ludvig Aberg clustered at the top on implied probabilities between 14% and 16%. This competitive dynamic stems from the deep talent pool on the PGA Tour, where recent form in stroke-play events, strong course histories at major venues, and solid ball-striking stats keep multiple players viable. Established names like Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele remain in striking distance due to their proven major records, while Scottie Scheffler's lower positioning reflects variable recent results despite his world ranking. The wisdom of crowds captured in these prices underscores how factors such as putting performance on firm greens and schedule strength can quickly reshape outcomes in a single-elimination major format.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAlex Smalley 16.4%
Jon Rahm 15.3%
Ludvig Aberg 14.2%
Rory McIlroy 12.5%
$6,109,829 Wol.
$6,109,829 Wol.
Alex Smalley
16%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Scottie Scheffler
6%
Nick Taylor
4%
Patrick Reed
4%
Aaron Rai
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Alex Smalley 16.4%
Jon Rahm 15.3%
Ludvig Aberg 14.2%
Rory McIlroy 12.5%
$6,109,829 Wol.
$6,109,829 Wol.
Alex Smalley
16%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Scottie Scheffler
6%
Nick Taylor
4%
Patrick Reed
4%
Aaron Rai
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 PGA Championship presents a tightly bunched leaderboard in trader consensus, with Alex Smalley, Jon Rahm, and Ludvig Aberg clustered at the top on implied probabilities between 14% and 16%. This competitive dynamic stems from the deep talent pool on the PGA Tour, where recent form in stroke-play events, strong course histories at major venues, and solid ball-striking stats keep multiple players viable. Established names like Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele remain in striking distance due to their proven major records, while Scottie Scheffler's lower positioning reflects variable recent results despite his world ranking. The wisdom of crowds captured in these prices underscores how factors such as putting performance on firm greens and schedule strength can quickly reshape outcomes in a single-elimination major format.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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