Bruno Fernandes leads the market at 37.5% implied probability as the defending record holder after posting a Premier League-high 21 assists in 2025-26 while serving as Manchester United’s primary creator under Michael Carrick. A crowded group of established playmakers keeps the contest open, with Martin Ødegaard (24.5%) anchoring Arsenal’s midfield, Rayan Cherki (18.0%) building on double-digit returns, and Cole Palmer, Dominik Szoboszlai, Bukayo Saka, and others clustered lower. Pre-season roster stability, set-piece responsibilities, and team attacking styles favor volume creators, yet assists remain variable and dependent on finishing efficiency plus fixture difficulty across the 38-match schedule. Trader consensus reflects this parity, pricing a wide field rather than any single lock.