Recent polls conducted after Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez called a snap general election for November 29 show the PP and Vox projected to win 198–212 seats combined in the 350-seat Congress, well above the 176-seat absolute majority threshold. Multiple surveys, including those from El País, GAD3, and others published in early to mid-October, indicate Vox roughly doubling its 2023 seat total while the PSOE loses substantial ground. The election follows parliamentary defeats on housing measures, amid public concerns over rents and related governance challenges. These consistent seat projections underpin trader consensus on the likelihood of a PP-Vox parliamentary majority.