The S&P 500 closed at 7,764.70 on September 21, 2026, up 1.49% that session and roughly 16.5% year-over-year, supported by robust corporate earnings growth projected at 25% or higher for full-year 2026, with AI-related capital expenditures driving much of the gains across technology and semiconductor names. The Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75–4% target range, amid headline PCE inflation near 3.7% and core measures around 3.4%, has reinforced expectations for additional tightening by year-end, lifting the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.96% and tempering valuations. High oil prices near $100 per barrel add to inflation risks, while narrowing market breadth—over half of index constituents remain well below peaks—highlights concentration in AI leaders. Key near-term catalysts include September PMI data, diplomatic developments at the UN General Assembly, and further earnings revisions that could influence implied probabilities for year-end index levels around 8,000.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
$374,435 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ $8,600
9%
↑ $8,200
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
51%
↓ $7,200
35%
↓ $7,000
24%
↓ $6,200
11%
↓ $6,000
7%
↓ $5,800
7%
↓ $5,200
3%
↓ $4,500
3%
$374,435 Wol.
↑ $10,000
$446 Wol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$10,126 Wol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 Wol.
11%
↑ $8,600
$32,228 Wol.
9%
↑ $8,200
$23,958 Wol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$583 Wol.
47%
↓ $7,400
$81 Wol.
51%
↓ $7,200
$554 Wol.
35%
↓ $7,000
$2,449 Wol.
24%
↓ $6,200
$61,313 Wol.
11%
↓ $6,000
$4,991 Wol.
7%
↓ $5,800
$44,511 Wol.
7%
↓ $5,200
$70,300 Wol.
3%
↓ $4,500
$62,708 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed at 7,764.70 on September 21, 2026, up 1.49% that session and roughly 16.5% year-over-year, supported by robust corporate earnings growth projected at 25% or higher for full-year 2026, with AI-related capital expenditures driving much of the gains across technology and semiconductor names. The Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75–4% target range, amid headline PCE inflation near 3.7% and core measures around 3.4%, has reinforced expectations for additional tightening by year-end, lifting the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.96% and tempering valuations. High oil prices near $100 per barrel add to inflation risks, while narrowing market breadth—over half of index constituents remain well below peaks—highlights concentration in AI leaders. Key near-term catalysts include September PMI data, diplomatic developments at the UN General Assembly, and further earnings revisions that could influence implied probabilities for year-end index levels around 8,000.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$374,435Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed at 7,764.70 on September 21, 2026, up 1.49% that session and roughly 16.5% year-over-year, supported by robust corporate earnings growth projected at 25% or higher for full-year 2026, with AI-related capital expenditures driving much of the gains across technology and semiconductor names. The Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75–4% target range, amid headline PCE inflation near 3.7% and core measures around 3.4%, has reinforced expectations for additional tightening by year-end, lifting the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.96% and tempering valuations. High oil prices near $100 per barrel add to inflation risks, while narrowing market breadth—over half of index constituents remain well below peaks—highlights concentration in AI leaders. Key near-term catalysts include September PMI data, diplomatic developments at the UN General Assembly, and further earnings revisions that could influence implied probabilities for year-end index levels around 8,000.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Wolumen
$374,435Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed at 7,764.70 on September 21, 2026, up 1.49% that session and roughly 16.5% year-over-year, supported by robust corporate earnings growth projected at 25% or higher for full-year 2026, with AI-related capital expenditures driving much of the gains across technology and semiconductor names. The Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75–4% target range, amid headline PCE inflation near 3.7% and core measures around 3.4%, has reinforced expectations for additional tightening by year-end, lifting the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.96% and tempering valuations. High oil prices near $100 per barrel add to inflation risks, while narrowing market breadth—over half of index constituents remain well below peaks—highlights concentration in AI leaders. Key near-term catalysts include September PMI data, diplomatic developments at the UN General Assembly, and further earnings revisions that could influence implied probabilities for year-end index levels around 8,000.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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