SpaceX's Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports, propellant transfer hardware, and DragonEye sensors to enable the first ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstration in low Earth orbit, a critical milestone for NASA's Artemis lunar lander requirements. Flight 13's July 2026 success validated V3 upgrades like engine relight and intact reentry, while Flight 14's targeted September 18 orbital attempt with Starlink V3 deployment advances single-vehicle capabilities. However, the propellant transfer demo—originally eyed for 2026—remains unscheduled, requiring coordinated launches, stable orbits, and automated mating that exceed current test profiles. Regulatory approvals, rapid reuse cadence, and hardware maturation will determine whether traders see docking by late 2026 or push resolution into 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
$70,296 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
3%
December 31, 2027
53%
$70,296 Wol.
December 31, 2026
$46,234 Wol.
3%
December 31, 2027
$24,063 Wol.
53%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports, propellant transfer hardware, and DragonEye sensors to enable the first ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstration in low Earth orbit, a critical milestone for NASA's Artemis lunar lander requirements. Flight 13's July 2026 success validated V3 upgrades like engine relight and intact reentry, while Flight 14's targeted September 18 orbital attempt with Starlink V3 deployment advances single-vehicle capabilities. However, the propellant transfer demo—originally eyed for 2026—remains unscheduled, requiring coordinated launches, stable orbits, and automated mating that exceed current test profiles. Regulatory approvals, rapid reuse cadence, and hardware maturation will determine whether traders see docking by late 2026 or push resolution into 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$70,296Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports, propellant transfer hardware, and DragonEye sensors to enable the first ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstration in low Earth orbit, a critical milestone for NASA's Artemis lunar lander requirements. Flight 13's July 2026 success validated V3 upgrades like engine relight and intact reentry, while Flight 14's targeted September 18 orbital attempt with Starlink V3 deployment advances single-vehicle capabilities. However, the propellant transfer demo—originally eyed for 2026—remains unscheduled, requiring coordinated launches, stable orbits, and automated mating that exceed current test profiles. Regulatory approvals, rapid reuse cadence, and hardware maturation will determine whether traders see docking by late 2026 or push resolution into 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$70,296Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's Version 3 Starships incorporate androgynous docking ports, propellant transfer hardware, and DragonEye sensors to enable the first ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstration in low Earth orbit, a critical milestone for NASA's Artemis lunar lander requirements. Flight 13's July 2026 success validated V3 upgrades like engine relight and intact reentry, while Flight 14's targeted September 18 orbital attempt with Starlink V3 deployment advances single-vehicle capabilities. However, the propellant transfer demo—originally eyed for 2026—remains unscheduled, requiring coordinated launches, stable orbits, and automated mating that exceed current test profiles. Regulatory approvals, rapid reuse cadence, and hardware maturation will determine whether traders see docking by late 2026 or push resolution into 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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