The tight clustering of implied probabilities among Spain, France, England, Germany, and Portugal reflects the depth of talent across Europe's elite national teams following Spain's 2024 UEFA European Championship victory and strong showings by the other contenders in recent Nations League and qualifying cycles. Squad continuity, emerging young players, and coaching stability support these positions, while the gap to the rest of the field highlights advantages in historical pedigree and infrastructure. Minor adjustments in form, injury recoveries, or results in 2026 World Cup qualifiers could still shift the competitive balance over the extended timeline to 2028.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSpain 23%
France 20%
England 16%
Germany 10%
$59,803 Wol.
$59,803 Wol.
Albania
<1%
Andorra
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Austria
1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Belgium
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgaria
<1%
Croatia
1%
Cyprus
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Denmark
1%
England
16%
Estonia
<1%
Faroe Islands
<1%
Finland
<1%
France
20%
Georgia
<1%
Germany
10%
Gibraltar
<1%
Greece
1%
Hungary
<1%
Iceland
<1%
Israel
<1%
Italy
4%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Kosovo
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Malta
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Netherlands
7%
North Macedonia
<1%
Northern Ireland
<1%
Norway
6%
Poland
1%
Portugal
10%
Republic of Ireland
<1%
Romania
<1%
Russia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Slovakia
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Spain
23%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Wales
<1%
Spain 23%
France 20%
England 16%
Germany 10%
$59,803 Wol.
$59,803 Wol.
Albania
<1%
Andorra
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Austria
1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Belgium
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgaria
<1%
Croatia
1%
Cyprus
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Denmark
1%
England
16%
Estonia
<1%
Faroe Islands
<1%
Finland
<1%
France
20%
Georgia
<1%
Germany
10%
Gibraltar
<1%
Greece
1%
Hungary
<1%
Iceland
<1%
Israel
<1%
Italy
4%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Kosovo
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Malta
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Netherlands
7%
North Macedonia
<1%
Northern Ireland
<1%
Norway
6%
Poland
1%
Portugal
10%
Republic of Ireland
<1%
Romania
<1%
Russia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Slovakia
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Spain
23%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Wales
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 20, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among Spain, France, England, Germany, and Portugal reflects the depth of talent across Europe's elite national teams following Spain's 2024 UEFA European Championship victory and strong showings by the other contenders in recent Nations League and qualifying cycles. Squad continuity, emerging young players, and coaching stability support these positions, while the gap to the rest of the field highlights advantages in historical pedigree and infrastructure. Minor adjustments in form, injury recoveries, or results in 2026 World Cup qualifiers could still shift the competitive balance over the extended timeline to 2028.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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