Walmart U.S. comparable sales ex-fuel for the fiscal second quarter ending in late July 2026 carry an 83.5% market-implied probability of landing in the 3%-4.5% range, aligning closely with analyst consensus estimates near 3.57%. This pricing reflects expectations of moderated growth from the prior quarter’s 4.1% pace, driven by persistent pressure on lower-income households from elevated fuel costs and tariff-related price increases that have weighed on discretionary spending. Grocery and general merchandise categories continue to provide support through transaction growth and e-commerce gains, while health-and-wellness segments face roughly 100-basis-point headwinds from regulatory pricing changes and slower GLP-1 demand. Traders are weighting these near-term consumer dynamics and recent guidance updates more heavily than historical averages above 4%, with resolution tied directly to the upcoming earnings release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano3%-4.5% 84%
4.5%-6% 6.2%
<3% 5.3%
7.5%+ <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
<3%
5%
3%-4.5%
84%
4.5%-6%
9%
6%-7.5%
1%
7.5%+
1%
3%-4.5% 84%
4.5%-6% 6.2%
<3% 5.3%
7.5%+ <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
<3%
$1,042 Wol.
5%
3%-4.5%
$2,712 Wol.
84%
4.5%-6%
$379 Wol.
9%
6%-7.5%
$322 Wol.
1%
7.5%+
$270 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Walmart U.S. comparable sales ex-fuel for the fiscal second quarter ending in late July 2026 carry an 83.5% market-implied probability of landing in the 3%-4.5% range, aligning closely with analyst consensus estimates near 3.57%. This pricing reflects expectations of moderated growth from the prior quarter’s 4.1% pace, driven by persistent pressure on lower-income households from elevated fuel costs and tariff-related price increases that have weighed on discretionary spending. Grocery and general merchandise categories continue to provide support through transaction growth and e-commerce gains, while health-and-wellness segments face roughly 100-basis-point headwinds from regulatory pricing changes and slower GLP-1 demand. Traders are weighting these near-term consumer dynamics and recent guidance updates more heavily than historical averages above 4%, with resolution tied directly to the upcoming earnings release.
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,725Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Walmart U.S. comparable sales ex-fuel for the fiscal second quarter ending in late July 2026 carry an 83.5% market-implied probability of landing in the 3%-4.5% range, aligning closely with analyst consensus estimates near 3.57%. This pricing reflects expectations of moderated growth from the prior quarter’s 4.1% pace, driven by persistent pressure on lower-income households from elevated fuel costs and tariff-related price increases that have weighed on discretionary spending. Grocery and general merchandise categories continue to provide support through transaction growth and e-commerce gains, while health-and-wellness segments face roughly 100-basis-point headwinds from regulatory pricing changes and slower GLP-1 demand. Traders are weighting these near-term consumer dynamics and recent guidance updates more heavily than historical averages above 4%, with resolution tied directly to the upcoming earnings release.
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,725Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Walmart U.S. comparable sales ex-fuel for the fiscal second quarter ending in late July 2026 carry an 83.5% market-implied probability of landing in the 3%-4.5% range, aligning closely with analyst consensus estimates near 3.57%. This pricing reflects expectations of moderated growth from the prior quarter’s 4.1% pace, driven by persistent pressure on lower-income households from elevated fuel costs and tariff-related price increases that have weighed on discretionary spending. Grocery and general merchandise categories continue to provide support through transaction growth and e-commerce gains, while health-and-wellness segments face roughly 100-basis-point headwinds from regulatory pricing changes and slower GLP-1 demand. Traders are weighting these near-term consumer dynamics and recent guidance updates more heavily than historical averages above 4%, with resolution tied directly to the upcoming earnings release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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