Walmart's Q2 FY2026 U.S. e-commerce sales growth of 26%, fueled by nearly 50% expansion in store-fulfilled delivery, continued advertising momentum, and marketplace gains, anchors the 59.5% implied probability on the 25%-29% outcome. Trader consensus reflects sustained mid-20% trends supported by Walmart+ penetration, improved delivery economics, and omnichannel execution that outpaced overall revenue growth of 4.8%. Lower-probability buckets above 33% capture limited recent upside surprises, while the 23.5% chance of sub-25% growth prices in residual uncertainty around consumer spending patterns. With Q3 results still ahead, market-implied odds emphasize continuity in these drivers rather than acceleration or sharp deceleration.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano25%-29% 58%
<25% 15%
37%+ 4.8%
29%-33% 3.0%
$12,099 Wol.
$12,099 Wol.
Aug 20, 2026
<25%
15%
25%-29%
58%
29%-33%
15%
33%-37%
11%
37%+
5%
25%-29% 58%
<25% 15%
37%+ 4.8%
29%-33% 3.0%
$12,099 Wol.
$12,099 Wol.
Aug 20, 2026
<25%
$5,102 Wol.
15%
25%-29%
$5,482 Wol.
58%
29%-33%
$478 Wol.
15%
33%-37%
$395 Wol.
11%
37%+
$642 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 US eCommerce sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Walmart's Q2 FY2026 U.S. e-commerce sales growth of 26%, fueled by nearly 50% expansion in store-fulfilled delivery, continued advertising momentum, and marketplace gains, anchors the 59.5% implied probability on the 25%-29% outcome. Trader consensus reflects sustained mid-20% trends supported by Walmart+ penetration, improved delivery economics, and omnichannel execution that outpaced overall revenue growth of 4.8%. Lower-probability buckets above 33% capture limited recent upside surprises, while the 23.5% chance of sub-25% growth prices in residual uncertainty around consumer spending patterns. With Q3 results still ahead, market-implied odds emphasize continuity in these drivers rather than acceleration or sharp deceleration.
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 US eCommerce sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,099Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 US eCommerce sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Walmart's Q2 FY2026 U.S. e-commerce sales growth of 26%, fueled by nearly 50% expansion in store-fulfilled delivery, continued advertising momentum, and marketplace gains, anchors the 59.5% implied probability on the 25%-29% outcome. Trader consensus reflects sustained mid-20% trends supported by Walmart+ penetration, improved delivery economics, and omnichannel execution that outpaced overall revenue growth of 4.8%. Lower-probability buckets above 33% capture limited recent upside surprises, while the 23.5% chance of sub-25% growth prices in residual uncertainty around consumer spending patterns. With Q3 results still ahead, market-implied odds emphasize continuity in these drivers rather than acceleration or sharp deceleration.
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 US eCommerce sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Wolumen
$12,099Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Walmart's Q2 FY2026 U.S. e-commerce sales growth of 26%, fueled by nearly 50% expansion in store-fulfilled delivery, continued advertising momentum, and marketplace gains, anchors the 59.5% implied probability on the 25%-29% outcome. Trader consensus reflects sustained mid-20% trends supported by Walmart+ penetration, improved delivery economics, and omnichannel execution that outpaced overall revenue growth of 4.8%. Lower-probability buckets above 33% capture limited recent upside surprises, while the 23.5% chance of sub-25% growth prices in residual uncertainty around consumer spending patterns. With Q3 results still ahead, market-implied odds emphasize continuity in these drivers rather than acceleration or sharp deceleration.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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