Recent U.S. housing data, including the Q1 2026 median sales price of $403,200 and April median list prices near $401,600, point to continued price stabilization amid elevated mortgage rates and rising inventory. This backdrop supports the tight clustering of Polymarket-implied odds around the 434k–438k range, where no single outcome exceeds 24 percent, reflecting trader uncertainty over May seasonal adjustments and potential revisions in indices such as the Zillow Home Value Index or FHFA HPI. Key swing factors include May new-home sales figures due May 28 and any late-month mortgage-rate movements that could influence buyer demand before the May 31 close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
<432k 45%
436 - 438k 24%
434 - 436k 22%
442 - 445k 18%
NOWE
NOWE
May 31, 2026
<432k
45%
432 - 434k
21%
434 - 436k
22%
436 - 438k
21%
438 - 440k
16%
440 - 442k
13%
442 - 445k
15%
>445k
10%
<432k 45%
436 - 438k 24%
434 - 436k 22%
442 - 445k 18%
NOWE
NOWE
May 31, 2026
<432k
$0 Wol.
45%
432 - 434k
$78 Wol.
21%
434 - 436k
$78 Wol.
22%
436 - 438k
$87 Wol.
21%
438 - 440k
$0 Wol.
16%
440 - 442k
$0 Wol.
13%
442 - 445k
$40 Wol.
15%
>445k
$37 Wol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Recent U.S. housing data, including the Q1 2026 median sales price of $403,200 and April median list prices near $401,600, point to continued price stabilization amid elevated mortgage rates and rising inventory. This backdrop supports the tight clustering of Polymarket-implied odds around the 434k–438k range, where no single outcome exceeds 24 percent, reflecting trader uncertainty over May seasonal adjustments and potential revisions in indices such as the Zillow Home Value Index or FHFA HPI. Key swing factors include May new-home sales figures due May 28 and any late-month mortgage-rate movements that could influence buyer demand before the May 31 close.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Rynek otwarty: May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$319Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Recent U.S. housing data, including the Q1 2026 median sales price of $403,200 and April median list prices near $401,600, point to continued price stabilization amid elevated mortgage rates and rising inventory. This backdrop supports the tight clustering of Polymarket-implied odds around the 434k–438k range, where no single outcome exceeds 24 percent, reflecting trader uncertainty over May seasonal adjustments and potential revisions in indices such as the Zillow Home Value Index or FHFA HPI. Key swing factors include May new-home sales figures due May 28 and any late-month mortgage-rate movements that could influence buyer demand before the May 31 close.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Wolumen
$319Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. housing data, including the Q1 2026 median sales price of $403,200 and April median list prices near $401,600, point to continued price stabilization amid elevated mortgage rates and rising inventory. This backdrop supports the tight clustering of Polymarket-implied odds around the 434k–438k range, where no single outcome exceeds 24 percent, reflecting trader uncertainty over May seasonal adjustments and potential revisions in indices such as the Zillow Home Value Index or FHFA HPI. Key swing factors include May new-home sales figures due May 28 and any late-month mortgage-rate movements that could influence buyer demand before the May 31 close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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