Recent U.S. housing data show median sale prices stabilizing near $436,500 in March 2026 and $417,700 for existing homes in April, with modest year-over-year gains amid persistent low inventory and steady sales volumes. Mortgage rates holding above 6 percent continue to weigh on affordability and transaction pace, supporting trader consensus that values will cluster between $432,000 and $440,000 by month-end. Seasonal spring demand and regional strength in the Northeast and Midwest provide upward pressure, while elevated listing supply in the South tempers broader gains. The tight spread across leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over the precise May reading and any late-quarter revisions, leaving room for final data releases to shift probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
436 - 438k 24%
434 - 436k 22%
432 - 434k 17%
438 - 440k 16%
NOWE
NOWE
May 31, 2026
<432k
15%
432 - 434k
16%
434 - 436k
20%
436 - 438k
22%
438 - 440k
16%
440 - 442k
12%
442 - 445k
10%
>445k
8%
436 - 438k 24%
434 - 436k 22%
432 - 434k 17%
438 - 440k 16%
NOWE
NOWE
May 31, 2026
<432k
$0 Wol.
15%
432 - 434k
$78 Wol.
16%
434 - 436k
$78 Wol.
20%
436 - 438k
$87 Wol.
22%
438 - 440k
$0 Wol.
16%
440 - 442k
$0 Wol.
12%
442 - 445k
$40 Wol.
10%
>445k
$37 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Recent U.S. housing data show median sale prices stabilizing near $436,500 in March 2026 and $417,700 for existing homes in April, with modest year-over-year gains amid persistent low inventory and steady sales volumes. Mortgage rates holding above 6 percent continue to weigh on affordability and transaction pace, supporting trader consensus that values will cluster between $432,000 and $440,000 by month-end. Seasonal spring demand and regional strength in the Northeast and Midwest provide upward pressure, while elevated listing supply in the South tempers broader gains. The tight spread across leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over the precise May reading and any late-quarter revisions, leaving room for final data releases to shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Rynek otwarty: May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$319Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Recent U.S. housing data show median sale prices stabilizing near $436,500 in March 2026 and $417,700 for existing homes in April, with modest year-over-year gains amid persistent low inventory and steady sales volumes. Mortgage rates holding above 6 percent continue to weigh on affordability and transaction pace, supporting trader consensus that values will cluster between $432,000 and $440,000 by month-end. Seasonal spring demand and regional strength in the Northeast and Midwest provide upward pressure, while elevated listing supply in the South tempers broader gains. The tight spread across leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over the precise May reading and any late-quarter revisions, leaving room for final data releases to shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Wolumen
$319Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. housing data show median sale prices stabilizing near $436,500 in March 2026 and $417,700 for existing homes in April, with modest year-over-year gains amid persistent low inventory and steady sales volumes. Mortgage rates holding above 6 percent continue to weigh on affordability and transaction pace, supporting trader consensus that values will cluster between $432,000 and $440,000 by month-end. Seasonal spring demand and regional strength in the Northeast and Midwest provide upward pressure, while elevated listing supply in the South tempers broader gains. The tight spread across leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over the precise May reading and any late-quarter revisions, leaving room for final data releases to shift probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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