HBO Max’s commanding 122 Emmy nominations, driven by frontrunners “The Pitt” (25 nods) and final-season “Hacks” (24 nods), anchor its 75% market-implied probability as the service most likely to claim the most wins at the September 14 ceremony. Netflix’s 111 nominations and Apple TV’s record 87 place them as distant challengers at 14.5% and 10.9%, reflecting weaker positioning in top drama and comedy races despite competitive limited-series entries like “Beef.” The tight overall field and ongoing final-round voting through late August introduce uncertainty, with “Other” at 50% capturing potential for non-streaming or split outcomes. Traders weigh HBO Max’s historical dominance and precursor momentum against the inherent volatility of Academy voting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich streaming service will win the most Emmys?
HBO Max 76%
Netflix 15%
Apple TV 10.9%
Hulu <1%
$76,068 Wol.
$76,068 Wol.

HBO Max
76%

Netflix
15%

Apple TV
11%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
HBO Max 76%
Netflix 15%
Apple TV 10.9%
Hulu <1%
$76,068 Wol.
$76,068 Wol.

HBO Max
76%

Netflix
15%

Apple TV
11%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...HBO Max’s commanding 122 Emmy nominations, driven by frontrunners “The Pitt” (25 nods) and final-season “Hacks” (24 nods), anchor its 75% market-implied probability as the service most likely to claim the most wins at the September 14 ceremony. Netflix’s 111 nominations and Apple TV’s record 87 place them as distant challengers at 14.5% and 10.9%, reflecting weaker positioning in top drama and comedy races despite competitive limited-series entries like “Beef.” The tight overall field and ongoing final-round voting through late August introduce uncertainty, with “Other” at 50% capturing potential for non-streaming or split outcomes. Traders weigh HBO Max’s historical dominance and precursor momentum against the inherent volatility of Academy voting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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