Petr Yan holds the strongest position in the bantamweight title picture entering mid-2026 after reclaiming the belt with a unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, completing a lengthy comeback that trader consensus reflects in his 56.5% implied probability. Recent updates on Yan’s planned back surgery and the anticipated trilogy bout with Dvalishvili, possibly slated for August, introduce some uncertainty around his availability and defenses through year-end. Dvalishvili sits at 21.0% as the former champion who made multiple title defenses in 2025 before the loss, while Sean O’Malley at 9.5% and Umar Nurmagomedov at 7.0% remain viable threats based on their prior reigns and recent wins over contenders like Deiveson Figueiredo. The division’s depth, including fighters such as Song Yadong and Cory Sandhagen, keeps outcomes fluid heading into the latter half of the year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPetr Yan 56%
Merab Dvalishvili 20%
Sean O'Malley 16%
Umar Nurmagomedov 7%
$302,551 Wol.
$302,551 Wol.
Petr Yan
56%
Merab Dvalishvili
20%
Sean O'Malley
16%
Umar Nurmagomedov
7%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Petr Yan 56%
Merab Dvalishvili 20%
Sean O'Malley 16%
Umar Nurmagomedov 7%
$302,551 Wol.
$302,551 Wol.
Petr Yan
56%
Merab Dvalishvili
20%
Sean O'Malley
16%
Umar Nurmagomedov
7%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan holds the strongest position in the bantamweight title picture entering mid-2026 after reclaiming the belt with a unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, completing a lengthy comeback that trader consensus reflects in his 56.5% implied probability. Recent updates on Yan’s planned back surgery and the anticipated trilogy bout with Dvalishvili, possibly slated for August, introduce some uncertainty around his availability and defenses through year-end. Dvalishvili sits at 21.0% as the former champion who made multiple title defenses in 2025 before the loss, while Sean O’Malley at 9.5% and Umar Nurmagomedov at 7.0% remain viable threats based on their prior reigns and recent wins over contenders like Deiveson Figueiredo. The division’s depth, including fighters such as Song Yadong and Cory Sandhagen, keeps outcomes fluid heading into the latter half of the year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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