Alcaraz's ongoing right-wrist tenosynovitis, which has sidelined the defending champion since his April Barcelona withdrawal, remains the dominant factor shaping the 61% implied probability for a US Open appearance. The Spaniard has missed the French Open, Wimbledon, Montreal, and now Cincinnati after failing to ramp up intensity for hard-court preparation, leaving him without match play for more than four months. Positive updates on low-intensity practice and his placement on the official entry list support a slim majority view that he will compete starting August 30, yet former players have publicly urged caution given the demands of best-of-five sets. A potential Winston-Salem tune-up before the main draw could clarify his status, but the extended absence and recent withdrawal continue to cap trader confidence below stronger favorites.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano61% szansa
$13,569 Wol.
$13,569 Wol.
61% szansa
$13,569 Wol.
$13,569 Wol.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alcaraz's ongoing right-wrist tenosynovitis, which has sidelined the defending champion since his April Barcelona withdrawal, remains the dominant factor shaping the 61% implied probability for a US Open appearance. The Spaniard has missed the French Open, Wimbledon, Montreal, and now Cincinnati after failing to ramp up intensity for hard-court preparation, leaving him without match play for more than four months. Positive updates on low-intensity practice and his placement on the official entry list support a slim majority view that he will compete starting August 30, yet former players have publicly urged caution given the demands of best-of-five sets. A potential Winston-Salem tune-up before the main draw could clarify his status, but the extended absence and recent withdrawal continue to cap trader confidence below stronger favorites.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,569Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alcaraz's ongoing right-wrist tenosynovitis, which has sidelined the defending champion since his April Barcelona withdrawal, remains the dominant factor shaping the 61% implied probability for a US Open appearance. The Spaniard has missed the French Open, Wimbledon, Montreal, and now Cincinnati after failing to ramp up intensity for hard-court preparation, leaving him without match play for more than four months. Positive updates on low-intensity practice and his placement on the official entry list support a slim majority view that he will compete starting August 30, yet former players have publicly urged caution given the demands of best-of-five sets. A potential Winston-Salem tune-up before the main draw could clarify his status, but the extended absence and recent withdrawal continue to cap trader confidence below stronger favorites.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$13,569Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alcaraz's ongoing right-wrist tenosynovitis, which has sidelined the defending champion since his April Barcelona withdrawal, remains the dominant factor shaping the 61% implied probability for a US Open appearance. The Spaniard has missed the French Open, Wimbledon, Montreal, and now Cincinnati after failing to ramp up intensity for hard-court preparation, leaving him without match play for more than four months. Positive updates on low-intensity practice and his placement on the official entry list support a slim majority view that he will compete starting August 30, yet former players have publicly urged caution given the demands of best-of-five sets. A potential Winston-Salem tune-up before the main draw could clarify his status, but the extended absence and recent withdrawal continue to cap trader confidence below stronger favorites.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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