This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US intelligence assessments and CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s late August 2026 visit to Moscow have highlighted the possibility of limited Russian actions, such as airstrikes, missile or drone attacks, or small incursions targeting Baltic states to test NATO’s Article 5 commitment, though officials assess a full-scale conventional invasion as highly unlikely in the near term. European allies and Baltic governments report no shift in Russian military posture, while Moscow denies any intent to strike NATO territory and continues hybrid activities including airspace violations. These developments occur against the backdrop of Russia’s ongoing Ukraine campaign, where sustained Western support and alliance unity remain central variables influencing escalation risks through 2026–2029.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
US intelligence assessments and CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s late August 2026 visit to Moscow have highlighted the possibility of limited Russian actions, such as airstrikes, missile or drone attacks, or small incursions targeting Baltic states to test NATO’s Article 5 commitment, though officials assess a full-scale conventional invasion as highly unlikely in the near term. European allies and Baltic governments report no shift in Russian military posture, while Moscow denies any intent to strike NATO territory and continues hybrid activities including airspace violations. These developments occur against the backdrop of Russia’s ongoing Ukraine campaign, where sustained Western support and alliance unity remain central variables influencing escalation risks through 2026–2029.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
May 4 2026
NATO steps up Arctic readiness as Russia expands submarine fleet
Reports of increased Russian submarine activity in the High North and NATO’s Arctic response were covered by Bloomberg. Though not a direct invasion threat, the story reinforced a perception of renewed Russian aggression, contributing to the market’s modest rebound to 3 % before the final slide to 2 %.
Apr 22 2026
Dutch intelligence says Russia could be ready for NATO conflict within a year
June 30, 2026 rises to 5%1%
The MIVD’s annual report warned that Russia could be ready to launch a regional conflict against NATO within a year of the Ukraine war ending, aiming for limited territorial gains. The assessment raised concerns about a possible Russian offensive, pushing the market’s Yes probability up to 5 % in late‑April.
Apr 21 2026
Dutch Intelligence Report States Russia-NATO Conflict Delayed as Long as Ukraine War Continues
June 30, 2026 dips to 3%1%
The Dutch Military Intelligence and Security Service (MIVD) annual report concluded that a conventional Russian attack on NATO is virtually out of the question while hostilities in Ukraine persist, though Russia could prepare within a year after they end.
Apr 20 2026
NATO intercepts Russian bombers over the Baltic Sea
NATO forces intercepted Russian strategic bombers and fighter jets over the Baltic Sea. The visible Russian air activity near NATO’s eastern flank heightened perceived invasion risk, supporting the upward move to 5 % in the market.
Mar 31 2026
French Air Force General Projects Potential Russian Test of NATO Strength for 2028-2029
June 30, 2026 dips to 4%1%
General Dominique Tardif stated that Russia might test NATO's resolve in the 2028-2029 timeframe, reinforcing the consensus that an invasion is not imminent in 2026.
Mar 9 2026
Lithuania warns of Russian troop and missile buildup near NATO borders
Lithuania’s threat assessment reported expansion of Russian brigades into divisions and a new Iskander‑M missile brigade near Kaliningrad. The report warned of accelerated Russian buildup, which initially lifted market odds but later contributed to a gradual decline as analysts judged the buildup insufficient for a near‑term invasion.
Mar 6 2026
Lithuanian Intelligence Warns Russia Prepares for Long-Term NATO Conflict but Faces Near-Term Constraints
Lithuania's annual national threat assessment highlighted that Russia is actively restructuring its military for a potential medium-to-long-term conflict with NATO, but its immediate capacity remains heavily constrained by the ongoing war in Ukraine.
Nov 19 2025
Swedish Chief of Defense warns Russia likely to test NATO's Article 5 soon
On November 19, Sweden's top military official stated that Russia is prepared to take enormous strategic risks and is likely to test NATO's collective defense pledge (Article 5) soon, especially in the Baltic states. This statement reflected ongoing hybrid and military threats but no confirmed invasion, aligning with the market's low probability for a Russian invasion of NATO territory in 2025.
Nov 17 2025
EU Defense Commissioner warns Russia may attack NATO country within 2-4 years
On November 17, the EU Commissioner for Defense and Space warned that intelligence from several European countries indicates Russian President Putin could be ready to test NATO's Article 5 within the next two to four years, before 2030. This official warning highlighted long-term risks but did not indicate an imminent invasion, consistent with the market's low probability assessment during the period.
Nov 7 2025
German General Warns Russia Could Launch Limited Attack on NATO at Any Time
June 30, 2026 dips to 9%1%
A top German military official warned that Russia possesses the capacity to execute a limited attack on NATO territory, though the decision depends heavily on NATO's deterrence posture.
Oct 13 2025
German intelligence warns of new level of Russian attacks on Europe
On October 13, the German Foreign Intelligence Service president stated that Russian attacks on Europe have reached a new level of confrontation, with Russia probing borders and destabilizing NATO countries through hybrid warfare. This assessment underscored the ongoing threat but also indicated that Russia was not yet conducting a direct military invasion of NATO territory, maintaining market skepticism about an imminent invasion.
Oct 11 2025
UK, US, NATO flew 12-hour patrol on Russian border amid Ukraine war
On October 11, the UK announced that Royal Air Force aircraft joined a 12-hour NATO patrol near Russia's border following a series of Russian drone and aircraft incursions into NATO airspace. This joint operation demonstrated NATO's increased vigilance and military readiness to deter Russian provocations near its borders, contributing to market perceptions of a low likelihood of a full Russian invasion of NATO territory.
Oct 6 2025
ISW Reports Russia Entering 'Phase 0' of Preparations for NATO Conflict
June 30, 2026 rises to 13%1%
The Institute for the Study of War assessed that Russia's surge in hybrid attacks and drone incursions indicates it has entered 'Phase 0' of psychological and informational preparation for a potential future war with NATO.
Sep 25 2025
Russia Accuses NATO and EU of Waging 'Real War' via Ukraine
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov accused Western allies of direct involvement in a 'real war' against Russia, escalating diplomatic tensions as airspace violations continued.
Sep 23 2025
NATO Warns Russia Over Escalating Airspace Violations
June 30, 2026 rises to 12%3%
Following airspace violations in Poland, Romania, and Estonia, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte warned Russia that the alliance would use all necessary military and non-military tools to defend itself.
Sep 23 2025
NATO warns Russia it will use all means to defend airspace after incursions
On September 23, NATO publicly warned Russia that it would employ all necessary military and non-military tools to defend its airspace following recent Russian drone and fighter jet incursions into NATO member states' airspace, including Poland and Estonia. This heightened alert and NATO's commitment to Article 5 reassured markets that NATO would respond firmly to any Russian aggression against its members, limiting perceived invasion risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US intelligence assessments and CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s late August 2026 visit to Moscow have highlighted the possibility of limited Russian actions, such as airstrikes, missile or drone attacks, or small incursions targeting Baltic states to test NATO’s Article 5 commitment, though officials assess a full-scale conventional invasion as highly unlikely in the near term. European allies and Baltic governments report no shift in Russian military posture, while Moscow denies any intent to strike NATO territory and continues hybrid activities including airspace violations. These developments occur against the backdrop of Russia’s ongoing Ukraine campaign, where sustained Western support and alliance unity remain central variables influencing escalation risks through 2026–2029.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
US intelligence assessments and CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s late August 2026 visit to Moscow have highlighted the possibility of limited Russian actions, such as airstrikes, missile or drone attacks, or small incursions targeting Baltic states to test NATO’s Article 5 commitment, though officials assess a full-scale conventional invasion as highly unlikely in the near term. European allies and Baltic governments report no shift in Russian military posture, while Moscow denies any intent to strike NATO territory and continues hybrid activities including airspace violations. These developments occur against the backdrop of Russia’s ongoing Ukraine campaign, where sustained Western support and alliance unity remain central variables influencing escalation risks through 2026–2029.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
May 4 2026
NATO steps up Arctic readiness as Russia expands submarine fleet
Reports of increased Russian submarine activity in the High North and NATO’s Arctic response were covered by Bloomberg. Though not a direct invasion threat, the story reinforced a perception of renewed Russian aggression, contributing to the market’s modest rebound to 3 % before the final slide to 2 %.
Apr 22 2026
Dutch intelligence says Russia could be ready for NATO conflict within a year
June 30, 2026 rises to 5%1%
The MIVD’s annual report warned that Russia could be ready to launch a regional conflict against NATO within a year of the Ukraine war ending, aiming for limited territorial gains. The assessment raised concerns about a possible Russian offensive, pushing the market’s Yes probability up to 5 % in late‑April.
Apr 21 2026
Dutch Intelligence Report States Russia-NATO Conflict Delayed as Long as Ukraine War Continues
June 30, 2026 dips to 3%1%
The Dutch Military Intelligence and Security Service (MIVD) annual report concluded that a conventional Russian attack on NATO is virtually out of the question while hostilities in Ukraine persist, though Russia could prepare within a year after they end.
Apr 20 2026
NATO intercepts Russian bombers over the Baltic Sea
NATO forces intercepted Russian strategic bombers and fighter jets over the Baltic Sea. The visible Russian air activity near NATO’s eastern flank heightened perceived invasion risk, supporting the upward move to 5 % in the market.
Mar 31 2026
French Air Force General Projects Potential Russian Test of NATO Strength for 2028-2029
June 30, 2026 dips to 4%1%
General Dominique Tardif stated that Russia might test NATO's resolve in the 2028-2029 timeframe, reinforcing the consensus that an invasion is not imminent in 2026.
Mar 9 2026
Lithuania warns of Russian troop and missile buildup near NATO borders
Lithuania’s threat assessment reported expansion of Russian brigades into divisions and a new Iskander‑M missile brigade near Kaliningrad. The report warned of accelerated Russian buildup, which initially lifted market odds but later contributed to a gradual decline as analysts judged the buildup insufficient for a near‑term invasion.
Mar 6 2026
Lithuanian Intelligence Warns Russia Prepares for Long-Term NATO Conflict but Faces Near-Term Constraints
Lithuania's annual national threat assessment highlighted that Russia is actively restructuring its military for a potential medium-to-long-term conflict with NATO, but its immediate capacity remains heavily constrained by the ongoing war in Ukraine.
Nov 19 2025
Swedish Chief of Defense warns Russia likely to test NATO's Article 5 soon
On November 19, Sweden's top military official stated that Russia is prepared to take enormous strategic risks and is likely to test NATO's collective defense pledge (Article 5) soon, especially in the Baltic states. This statement reflected ongoing hybrid and military threats but no confirmed invasion, aligning with the market's low probability for a Russian invasion of NATO territory in 2025.
Nov 17 2025
EU Defense Commissioner warns Russia may attack NATO country within 2-4 years
On November 17, the EU Commissioner for Defense and Space warned that intelligence from several European countries indicates Russian President Putin could be ready to test NATO's Article 5 within the next two to four years, before 2030. This official warning highlighted long-term risks but did not indicate an imminent invasion, consistent with the market's low probability assessment during the period.
Nov 7 2025
German General Warns Russia Could Launch Limited Attack on NATO at Any Time
June 30, 2026 dips to 9%1%
A top German military official warned that Russia possesses the capacity to execute a limited attack on NATO territory, though the decision depends heavily on NATO's deterrence posture.
Oct 13 2025
German intelligence warns of new level of Russian attacks on Europe
On October 13, the German Foreign Intelligence Service president stated that Russian attacks on Europe have reached a new level of confrontation, with Russia probing borders and destabilizing NATO countries through hybrid warfare. This assessment underscored the ongoing threat but also indicated that Russia was not yet conducting a direct military invasion of NATO territory, maintaining market skepticism about an imminent invasion.
Oct 11 2025
UK, US, NATO flew 12-hour patrol on Russian border amid Ukraine war
On October 11, the UK announced that Royal Air Force aircraft joined a 12-hour NATO patrol near Russia's border following a series of Russian drone and aircraft incursions into NATO airspace. This joint operation demonstrated NATO's increased vigilance and military readiness to deter Russian provocations near its borders, contributing to market perceptions of a low likelihood of a full Russian invasion of NATO territory.
Oct 6 2025
ISW Reports Russia Entering 'Phase 0' of Preparations for NATO Conflict
June 30, 2026 rises to 13%1%
The Institute for the Study of War assessed that Russia's surge in hybrid attacks and drone incursions indicates it has entered 'Phase 0' of psychological and informational preparation for a potential future war with NATO.
Sep 25 2025
Russia Accuses NATO and EU of Waging 'Real War' via Ukraine
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov accused Western allies of direct involvement in a 'real war' against Russia, escalating diplomatic tensions as airspace violations continued.
Sep 23 2025
NATO Warns Russia Over Escalating Airspace Violations
June 30, 2026 rises to 12%3%
Following airspace violations in Poland, Romania, and Estonia, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte warned Russia that the alliance would use all necessary military and non-military tools to defend itself.
Sep 23 2025
NATO warns Russia it will use all means to defend airspace after incursions
On September 23, NATO publicly warned Russia that it would employ all necessary military and non-military tools to defend its airspace following recent Russian drone and fighter jet incursions into NATO member states' airspace, including Poland and Estonia. This heightened alert and NATO's commitment to Article 5 reassured markets that NATO would respond firmly to any Russian aggression against its members, limiting perceived invasion risk.
"Czy Rosja dokona inwazji na państwo NATO przez…?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 3 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "December 31, 2026" z 7%, za nim "31 grudnia 2025" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 7¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 7% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.
Na dzień dzisiejszy "Czy Rosja dokona inwazji na państwo NATO przez…?" wygenerował $5.4 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 28, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.
Aby handlować na "Czy Rosja dokona inwazji na państwo NATO przez…?", przeglądaj 3 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.
To szeroko otwarty rynek. Obecnym liderem dla "Czy Rosja dokona inwazji na państwo NATO przez…?" jest "December 31, 2026" z zaledwie 7%, a za nim "31 grudnia 2025" z 0%. Brak wyniku z wyraźną większością — traderzy widzą to jako wysoce niepewne, co może stwarzać unikalne okazje handlowe. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, więc dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby obserwować ewolucję prawdopodobieństw.
Zasady rozstrzygania "Czy Rosja dokona inwazji na państwo NATO przez…?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.
Tak. Nie musisz handlować, aby być na bieżąco. Ta strona służy jako tracker na żywo dla "Czy Rosja dokona inwazji na państwo NATO przez…?". Prawdopodobieństwa wyników aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym z każdą nową transakcją. Możesz dodać tę stronę do zakładek i sprawdzić sekcję komentarzy, aby zobaczyć, co myślą inni traderzy. Możesz też użyć filtrów zakresu czasu na wykresie, aby zobaczyć, jak kursy zmieniały się w czasie. To darmowe, działające w czasie rzeczywistym okno na to, czego rynek oczekuje.
Kursy Polymarket ustalane są przez prawdziwych traderów stawiających prawdziwe pieniądze za swoimi przekonaniami, co zwykle prowadzi do trafnych prognoz. Z $5.4 million wolumenu na "Czy Rosja dokona inwazji na państwo NATO przez…?", ceny te agregują zbiorową wiedzę i zaangażowanie tysięcy uczestników — często przewyższając sondaże, prognozy ekspertów i tradycyjne badania. Rynki prognoz jak Polymarket mają silną historię trafności, szczególnie gdy wydarzenia zbliżają się do rozstrzygnięcia. Na przykład, Polymarket ma miesięczny wynik trafności 94%. Najnowsze statystyki trafności prognoz Polymarket znajdziesz na stronie trafności na Polymarket.
Aby złożyć swoje pierwsze zlecenie na "Czy Rosja dokona inwazji na państwo NATO przez…?", zarejestruj darmowe konto Polymarket i doładuj je kryptowalutą, kartą kredytową lub debetową albo przelewem bankowym. Po doładowaniu konta wróć na tę stronę, wybierz wynik, na który chcesz handlować, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli jesteś nowy w rynkach prognoz, kliknij link "Jak to działa" na górze dowolnej strony Polymarket, aby zobaczyć szybki przewodnik krok po kroku.
Na Polymarket cena każdego wyniku reprezentuje implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Cena 7¢ za "December 31, 2026" na rynku "Czy Rosja dokona inwazji na państwo NATO przez…?" oznacza, że traderzy zbiorowo wierzą, iż istnieje w przybliżeniu 7% szansy na to, że "December 31, 2026" będzie poprawnym wynikiem. Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" po 7¢ i wynik jest poprawny, otrzymasz $1.00 za udział — zysk 93¢ za udział. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, te udziały są warte $0.
Planowana data zakończenia rynku "Czy Rosja dokona inwazji na państwo NATO przez…?" minęła, ale rynek nie został jeszcze oficjalnie rozstrzygnięty. Data zakończenia wskazuje, kiedy oczekuje się, że dane wydarzenie nastąpi lub stanie się poznawalne. Nie jest to moment zakończenia handlu. Rynek pozostaje otwarty do handlu aż do formalnego rozstrzygnięcia wyniku. Możesz nadal kupować, sprzedawać lub zamykać swoją pozycję w oczekiwaniu na rozstrzygnięcie. Sprawdź tracker statusu rozstrzygnięcia i sekcję "Zasady" na tej stronie.
Rynek "Czy Rosja dokona inwazji na państwo NATO przez…?" ma aktywną społeczność z 63 komentarzami, gdzie traderzy dzielą się swoimi analizami, debatują nad wynikami i omawiają najnowsze wydarzenia. Przewiń w dół do sekcji komentarzy, aby przeczytać, co myślą inni uczestnicy. Możesz też filtrować według "Najwięksi posiadacze", aby zobaczyć, na czym pozycjonują się największe portfele rynku, lub sprawdzić zakładkę "Aktywność" dla transmisji transakcji na żywo.
Polymarket to największy na świecie rynek prognoz, na którym możesz być na bieżąco i czerpać zyski ze swojej wiedzy o wydarzeniach w świecie rzeczywistym. Traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały w wynikach tematów od polityki i wyborów po kryptowaluty, finanse, sport, technologię i kulturę, w tym rynki takie jak "Czy Rosja dokona inwazji na państwo NATO przez…?". Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym poparte finansowym zaangażowaniem, często dostarczając szybsze i trafniejsze sygnały niż sondaże, komentatorzy czy tradycyjne badania.
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