Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?
$39,162,791 Wol.
May 31, 2026
May 31
$4,022,204 Wol.
1%
June 30
$1,366,043 Wol.
2%
September 30
$601,751 Wol.
6%
31 grudnia
$29,293,206 Wol.
14%
$39,162,791 Wol.
May 31
$4,022,204 Wol.
1%
June 30
$1,366,043 Wol.
2%
September 30
$601,751 Wol.
6%
31 grudnia
$29,293,206 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent Pentagon declassifications of UAP files have fueled cultural fascination with extraterrestrial disclosure, yet none of the May 8 releases—including 160-plus historical photos, videos, and reports—contain the explicit government confirmation that would resolve the market. President Trump's February transparency directive triggered the rolling document drops, generating viral social media momentum and renewed interest in classic sighting lore, but officials continue stressing that viewers must draw their own conclusions without definitive statements on alien life or tech. Upcoming tranches could introduce fresh narratives capable of shifting trader consensus, though historical precedent suggests any true confirmation remains a high bar amid the ongoing pop-culture appetite for such revelations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Recent Pentagon declassifications of UAP files have fueled cultural fascination with extraterrestrial disclosure, yet none of the May 8 releases—including 160-plus historical photos, videos, and reports—contain the explicit government confirmation that would resolve the market. President Trump's February transparency directive triggered the rolling document drops, generating viral social media momentum and renewed interest in classic sighting lore, but officials continue stressing that viewers must draw their own conclusions without definitive statements on alien life or tech. Upcoming tranches could introduce fresh narratives capable of shifting trader consensus, though historical precedent suggests any true confirmation remains a high bar amid the ongoing pop-culture appetite for such revelations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Apr 18 2026
Pentagon announces upcoming release of 46 UAP videos
December 31 rises to 19%2%
Rep. Anna Paulina Luna announced that the Pentagon would release 46 videos of unidentified aerial phenomena, fueling speculation about government transparency on UFOs. This announcement caused a temporary increase in market prices for the December 31 outcome, reflecting renewed hopes for official confirmation.
Apr 17 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files with no confirmation of alien life
December 31 rises to 21%3%
The Pentagon began releasing a new batch of declassified UFO files, including videos and testimonies of unidentified aerial phenomena, but explicitly did not confirm extraterrestrial life. This release sparked public curiosity and a brief increase in market prices for the December 31 outcome, but the lack of definitive confirmation led to a subsequent decline.
Apr 10 2026
Pentagon releases new UFO files detailing sightings but no confirmation of alien life
The Pentagon released a batch of declassified UFO files including videos and testimonies of unidentified aerial phenomena, sparking public interest but stopping short of confirming extraterrestrial life. This transparency effort by the Trump administration increased public curiosity but did not provide definitive proof, leading to a modest market reaction with no significant price increase.
Mar 18 2026
Cuban officials present AKM rifles to singer Silvio Rodríguez after anti‑U.S. remarks
December 31 rises to 16%3%
Cuba’s public gifting of military rifles to a prominent artist, following his threats against the United States, heightened geopolitical tension and revived speculation about secret U.S.‑Cuban encounters with unidentified technology, nudging the market upward.
Feb 20 2026
President Trump tweets that UFO disclosures are “coming soon” after Pentagon release
December 31 dips to 14%3%
Following the Pentagon’s file drop, Trump posted on Truth Social that more revelations were imminent, reinforcing market expectations that the government might soon confirm extraterrestrial evidence, driving the price to a peak.
Feb 19 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files amid Trump‑prompted transparency push
December 31 jumps to 17%5%
The Department of Defense made public a trove of declassified UFO videos and reports, a move encouraged by President Trump’s recent social‑media calls for disclosure. Traders saw the unprecedented release as a step toward official acknowledgment, lifting the December‑31 outcome.
Gen. Dan Caine provided a detailed account of the meticulously planned US military operation to capture Venezuelan President Maduro, highlighting extensive intelligence and military coordination. This high-profile event increased attention on US government actions but did not relate directly to alien confirmation, causing minor market fluctuations.
Feb 9 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files, sparking renewed speculation on alien life
The Department of Defense declassified a set of UFO videos and reports, prompting President Trump to tweet about the need for transparency. Traders interpreted the disclosure as a possible step toward an official confirmation, lifting the market’s odds in early February.
Feb 7 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files with detailed sightings
December 31 jumps to 17%8%
The Pentagon began releasing a trove of new UFO files including videos and testimonies of unidentified aerial phenomena, sparking renewed public interest and speculation about extraterrestrial life. This event caused a notable increase in market prices for the December 31 outcome, reflecting heightened optimism about a possible official confirmation.
Feb 3 2026
President Trump emphasizes transparency on UFO files and public interpretation
December 31 rises to 12%3%
President Trump publicly highlighted the release of UFO files and encouraged the public to interpret the information themselves, signaling a more open approach to the topic of extraterrestrial life. This statement contributed to increased market confidence in a potential official confirmation by the end of the year.
Jan 20 2026
Republican lawmaker demands release of additional UAP videos
December 31 rises to 10%1%
Rep. Anna Paulina Luna publicly urged the Pentagon to release more UAP footage, intensifying congressional pressure for transparency and suggesting a possible forthcoming official acknowledgment before the year’s end, which pushed the December 31 price up further.
Jan 19 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files
December 31 rises to 10%1%
The Pentagon began releasing a new trove of UFO-related documents and videos, with President Trump encouraging the public to draw their own conclusions about the phenomena.
Jan 11 2026
DOJ opens criminal probe into Fed Chair Jerome Powell
December 31 rises to 9%1%
A Justice Department investigation into Fed Chair Powell raised concerns about political pressure on the central bank, leading some traders to anticipate a possible presidential statement on broader government transparency, including UFO disclosures, which lifted the December 31 contract.
Jan 5 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files sparking public debate
December 31 rises to 7%1%
The Department of Defense disclosed additional declassified UFO documents, highlighting unexplained sightings and prompting media coverage that revived speculation about official acknowledgment of extraterrestrial phenomena, nudging the December 31 outcome higher.
Dec 27 2025
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files under Trump administration
December 31 rises to 12%2%
The Pentagon began releasing a new batch of declassified UFO files, including videos and testimonies of unidentified aerial phenomena, which sparked public interest and speculation about extraterrestrial life. However, the files did not provide definitive confirmation of alien existence, leading to a moderate increase in market price for the December 31 outcome.
Dec 7 2025
Trump administration releases additional UFO files with retro Pentagon website
December 31 jumps to 21%11%
On December 7, 2025, the Pentagon released 162 new UFO-related files on a retro-themed website, including State Department cables, FBI documents, and NASA transcripts. The administration emphasized transparency, but the files did not confirm alien technology. This release caused a peak in market price to 21%, reflecting increased public interest and speculation.
Dec 6 2025
Pentagon releases new UFO files sparking speculation of alien evidence
December 31 dips to 9%4%
The Department of Defense declassified a set of videos and reports on unidentified aerial phenomena, prompting media outlets to highlight the possibility of official acknowledgment and pushing the market’s Yes price up from 13% to 9% as traders priced in a higher chance of a December‑31 confirmation.
Nov 29 2025
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files with detailed sightings
December 31 jumps to 13%6%
The Pentagon began releasing a trove of declassified UFO files, including videos and testimonies of unusual aerial phenomena, which reignited public and market interest in the possibility of extraterrestrial life. Former President Trump highlighted the release, encouraging public scrutiny and speculation, which likely caused the market price to rise sharply around this date.
Nov 28 2025
Pentagon begins releasing new UFO files, Trump encourages public to draw conclusions
December 31 rises to 11%4%
On November 28, 2025, the Pentagon started releasing a new batch of UFO files including videos, imagery, and testimonies about unidentified anomalous phenomena. President Trump highlighted the release, emphasizing transparency and inviting the public to interpret the information themselves. This event caused a significant price increase in the market, reflecting heightened speculation about possible confirmation of alien existence.
Nov 28 2025
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files revealing unusual sightings
December 31 rises to 11%4%
The Pentagon began releasing a new batch of declassified UFO files detailing numerous sightings of unidentified aerial phenomena, including erratic maneuvers and bright orbs, sparking public interest and speculation about extraterrestrial life. This release, encouraged by former President Trump, increased market optimism about a possible official confirmation by December 31, 2026, causing the price for that outcome to rise from 7% to 11%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent Pentagon declassifications of UAP files have fueled cultural fascination with extraterrestrial disclosure, yet none of the May 8 releases—including 160-plus historical photos, videos, and reports—contain the explicit government confirmation that would resolve the market. President Trump's February transparency directive triggered the rolling document drops, generating viral social media momentum and renewed interest in classic sighting lore, but officials continue stressing that viewers must draw their own conclusions without definitive statements on alien life or tech. Upcoming tranches could introduce fresh narratives capable of shifting trader consensus, though historical precedent suggests any true confirmation remains a high bar amid the ongoing pop-culture appetite for such revelations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Recent Pentagon declassifications of UAP files have fueled cultural fascination with extraterrestrial disclosure, yet none of the May 8 releases—including 160-plus historical photos, videos, and reports—contain the explicit government confirmation that would resolve the market. President Trump's February transparency directive triggered the rolling document drops, generating viral social media momentum and renewed interest in classic sighting lore, but officials continue stressing that viewers must draw their own conclusions without definitive statements on alien life or tech. Upcoming tranches could introduce fresh narratives capable of shifting trader consensus, though historical precedent suggests any true confirmation remains a high bar amid the ongoing pop-culture appetite for such revelations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Apr 18 2026
Pentagon announces upcoming release of 46 UAP videos
December 31 rises to 19%2%
Rep. Anna Paulina Luna announced that the Pentagon would release 46 videos of unidentified aerial phenomena, fueling speculation about government transparency on UFOs. This announcement caused a temporary increase in market prices for the December 31 outcome, reflecting renewed hopes for official confirmation.
Apr 17 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files with no confirmation of alien life
December 31 rises to 21%3%
The Pentagon began releasing a new batch of declassified UFO files, including videos and testimonies of unidentified aerial phenomena, but explicitly did not confirm extraterrestrial life. This release sparked public curiosity and a brief increase in market prices for the December 31 outcome, but the lack of definitive confirmation led to a subsequent decline.
Apr 10 2026
Pentagon releases new UFO files detailing sightings but no confirmation of alien life
The Pentagon released a batch of declassified UFO files including videos and testimonies of unidentified aerial phenomena, sparking public interest but stopping short of confirming extraterrestrial life. This transparency effort by the Trump administration increased public curiosity but did not provide definitive proof, leading to a modest market reaction with no significant price increase.
Mar 18 2026
Cuban officials present AKM rifles to singer Silvio Rodríguez after anti‑U.S. remarks
December 31 rises to 16%3%
Cuba’s public gifting of military rifles to a prominent artist, following his threats against the United States, heightened geopolitical tension and revived speculation about secret U.S.‑Cuban encounters with unidentified technology, nudging the market upward.
Feb 20 2026
President Trump tweets that UFO disclosures are “coming soon” after Pentagon release
December 31 dips to 14%3%
Following the Pentagon’s file drop, Trump posted on Truth Social that more revelations were imminent, reinforcing market expectations that the government might soon confirm extraterrestrial evidence, driving the price to a peak.
Feb 19 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files amid Trump‑prompted transparency push
December 31 jumps to 17%5%
The Department of Defense made public a trove of declassified UFO videos and reports, a move encouraged by President Trump’s recent social‑media calls for disclosure. Traders saw the unprecedented release as a step toward official acknowledgment, lifting the December‑31 outcome.
Gen. Dan Caine provided a detailed account of the meticulously planned US military operation to capture Venezuelan President Maduro, highlighting extensive intelligence and military coordination. This high-profile event increased attention on US government actions but did not relate directly to alien confirmation, causing minor market fluctuations.
Feb 9 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files, sparking renewed speculation on alien life
The Department of Defense declassified a set of UFO videos and reports, prompting President Trump to tweet about the need for transparency. Traders interpreted the disclosure as a possible step toward an official confirmation, lifting the market’s odds in early February.
Feb 7 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files with detailed sightings
December 31 jumps to 17%8%
The Pentagon began releasing a trove of new UFO files including videos and testimonies of unidentified aerial phenomena, sparking renewed public interest and speculation about extraterrestrial life. This event caused a notable increase in market prices for the December 31 outcome, reflecting heightened optimism about a possible official confirmation.
Feb 3 2026
President Trump emphasizes transparency on UFO files and public interpretation
December 31 rises to 12%3%
President Trump publicly highlighted the release of UFO files and encouraged the public to interpret the information themselves, signaling a more open approach to the topic of extraterrestrial life. This statement contributed to increased market confidence in a potential official confirmation by the end of the year.
Jan 20 2026
Republican lawmaker demands release of additional UAP videos
December 31 rises to 10%1%
Rep. Anna Paulina Luna publicly urged the Pentagon to release more UAP footage, intensifying congressional pressure for transparency and suggesting a possible forthcoming official acknowledgment before the year’s end, which pushed the December 31 price up further.
Jan 19 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files
December 31 rises to 10%1%
The Pentagon began releasing a new trove of UFO-related documents and videos, with President Trump encouraging the public to draw their own conclusions about the phenomena.
Jan 11 2026
DOJ opens criminal probe into Fed Chair Jerome Powell
December 31 rises to 9%1%
A Justice Department investigation into Fed Chair Powell raised concerns about political pressure on the central bank, leading some traders to anticipate a possible presidential statement on broader government transparency, including UFO disclosures, which lifted the December 31 contract.
Jan 5 2026
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files sparking public debate
December 31 rises to 7%1%
The Department of Defense disclosed additional declassified UFO documents, highlighting unexplained sightings and prompting media coverage that revived speculation about official acknowledgment of extraterrestrial phenomena, nudging the December 31 outcome higher.
Dec 27 2025
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files under Trump administration
December 31 rises to 12%2%
The Pentagon began releasing a new batch of declassified UFO files, including videos and testimonies of unidentified aerial phenomena, which sparked public interest and speculation about extraterrestrial life. However, the files did not provide definitive confirmation of alien existence, leading to a moderate increase in market price for the December 31 outcome.
Dec 7 2025
Trump administration releases additional UFO files with retro Pentagon website
December 31 jumps to 21%11%
On December 7, 2025, the Pentagon released 162 new UFO-related files on a retro-themed website, including State Department cables, FBI documents, and NASA transcripts. The administration emphasized transparency, but the files did not confirm alien technology. This release caused a peak in market price to 21%, reflecting increased public interest and speculation.
Dec 6 2025
Pentagon releases new UFO files sparking speculation of alien evidence
December 31 dips to 9%4%
The Department of Defense declassified a set of videos and reports on unidentified aerial phenomena, prompting media outlets to highlight the possibility of official acknowledgment and pushing the market’s Yes price up from 13% to 9% as traders priced in a higher chance of a December‑31 confirmation.
Nov 29 2025
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files with detailed sightings
December 31 jumps to 13%6%
The Pentagon began releasing a trove of declassified UFO files, including videos and testimonies of unusual aerial phenomena, which reignited public and market interest in the possibility of extraterrestrial life. Former President Trump highlighted the release, encouraging public scrutiny and speculation, which likely caused the market price to rise sharply around this date.
Nov 28 2025
Pentagon begins releasing new UFO files, Trump encourages public to draw conclusions
December 31 rises to 11%4%
On November 28, 2025, the Pentagon started releasing a new batch of UFO files including videos, imagery, and testimonies about unidentified anomalous phenomena. President Trump highlighted the release, emphasizing transparency and inviting the public to interpret the information themselves. This event caused a significant price increase in the market, reflecting heightened speculation about possible confirmation of alien existence.
Nov 28 2025
Pentagon releases new batch of UFO files revealing unusual sightings
December 31 rises to 11%4%
The Pentagon began releasing a new batch of declassified UFO files detailing numerous sightings of unidentified aerial phenomena, including erratic maneuvers and bright orbs, sparking public interest and speculation about extraterrestrial life. This release, encouraged by former President Trump, increased market optimism about a possible official confirmation by December 31, 2026, causing the price for that outcome to rise from 7% to 11%.
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Często zadawane pytania
"Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 6 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "31 grudnia" z 14%, za nim "September 30" z 6%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 14¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 14% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.
Na dzień dzisiejszy "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?" wygenerował $39.2 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 25, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.
Aby handlować na "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?", przeglądaj 6 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.
Obecnym faworytem dla "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?" jest "31 grudnia" z 14%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 14% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "September 30" z 6%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.
Zasady rozstrzygania "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.
Tak. Nie musisz handlować, aby być na bieżąco. Ta strona służy jako tracker na żywo dla "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?". Prawdopodobieństwa wyników aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym z każdą nową transakcją. Możesz dodać tę stronę do zakładek i sprawdzić sekcję komentarzy, aby zobaczyć, co myślą inni traderzy. Możesz też użyć filtrów zakresu czasu na wykresie, aby zobaczyć, jak kursy zmieniały się w czasie. To darmowe, działające w czasie rzeczywistym okno na to, czego rynek oczekuje.
Kursy Polymarket ustalane są przez prawdziwych traderów stawiających prawdziwe pieniądze za swoimi przekonaniami, co zwykle prowadzi do trafnych prognoz. Z $39.2 million wolumenu na "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?", ceny te agregują zbiorową wiedzę i zaangażowanie tysięcy uczestników — często przewyższając sondaże, prognozy ekspertów i tradycyjne badania. Rynki prognoz jak Polymarket mają silną historię trafności, szczególnie gdy wydarzenia zbliżają się do rozstrzygnięcia. Na przykład, Polymarket ma miesięczny wynik trafności 94%. Najnowsze statystyki trafności prognoz Polymarket znajdziesz na stronie trafności na Polymarket.
Aby złożyć swoje pierwsze zlecenie na "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?", zarejestruj darmowe konto Polymarket i doładuj je kryptowalutą, kartą kredytową lub debetową albo przelewem bankowym. Po doładowaniu konta wróć na tę stronę, wybierz wynik, na który chcesz handlować, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli jesteś nowy w rynkach prognoz, kliknij link "Jak to działa" na górze dowolnej strony Polymarket, aby zobaczyć szybki przewodnik krok po kroku.
Na Polymarket cena każdego wyniku reprezentuje implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Cena 14¢ za "31 grudnia" na rynku "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?" oznacza, że traderzy zbiorowo wierzą, iż istnieje w przybliżeniu 14% szansy na to, że "31 grudnia" będzie poprawnym wynikiem. Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" po 14¢ i wynik jest poprawny, otrzymasz $1.00 za udział — zysk 86¢ za udział. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, te udziały są warte $0.
Rynek "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?" jest zaplanowany na rozstrzygnięcie około Dec 31, 2026. Handel pozostaje otwarty, a kursy będą się zmieniać w miarę pojawiania się nowych informacji. Dokładny czas rozstrzygnięcia zależy od tego, kiedy oficjalny wynik stanie się dostępny, zgodnie z sekcją "Zasady" na tej stronie.
Rynek "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?" ma aktywną społeczność z 1,254 komentarzami, gdzie traderzy dzielą się swoimi analizami, debatują nad wynikami i omawiają najnowsze wydarzenia. Przewiń w dół do sekcji komentarzy, aby przeczytać, co myślą inni uczestnicy. Możesz też filtrować według "Najwięksi posiadacze", aby zobaczyć, na co postawiły największe portfele rynku, lub sprawdzić zakładkę "Aktywność" dla transmisji transakcji na żywo.
Polymarket to największy na świecie rynek prognoz, na którym możesz być na bieżąco i czerpać zyski ze swojej wiedzy o wydarzeniach w świecie rzeczywistym. Traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały w wynikach tematów od polityki i wyborów po kryptowaluty, finanse, sport, technologię i kulturę, w tym rynki takie jak "Czy Stany Zjednoczone potwierdzą, że obcy istnieją do...?". Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym poparte finansowym zaangażowaniem, często dostarczając szybsze i trafniejsze sygnały niż sondaże, komentatorzy czy tradycyjne badania.
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