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Will the US House pass the NDAA by July 31?

icon for Will the US House pass the NDAA by July 31?

Will the US House pass the NDAA by July 31?

50% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
50% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026 by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must set forth policies and authorities for Fiscal Year 2026 for Department of Defense programs and activities. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Armed Services Committee approval of H.R. 8800, the fiscal 2027 National Defense Authorization Act, by a 44-12 vote in early June advanced the measure to the floor amid ongoing debates over defense spending levels, acquisition reforms, and policy riders. Recent Rules Committee action encountered setbacks when a June 30 procedural vote failed due to Republican defections, creating uncertainty about floor timing ahead of the July recess. Bipartisan committee support and the bill's annual tradition contrast with these internal divisions and competing legislative priorities, producing closely balanced trader odds near 50 percent. Floor passage by July 31 would likely hinge on leadership negotiations to secure a rule, amendment strategies, and turnout among rank-and-file members wary of specific provisions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026 by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must set forth policies and authorities for Fiscal Year 2026 for Department of Defense programs and activities.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026 by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must set forth policies and authorities for Fiscal Year 2026 for Department of Defense programs and activities. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026 by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must set forth policies and authorities for Fiscal Year 2026 for Department of Defense programs and activities. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Armed Services Committee approval of H.R. 8800, the fiscal 2027 National Defense Authorization Act, by a 44-12 vote in early June advanced the measure to the floor amid ongoing debates over defense spending levels, acquisition reforms, and policy riders. Recent Rules Committee action encountered setbacks when a June 30 procedural vote failed due to Republican defections, creating uncertainty about floor timing ahead of the July recess. Bipartisan committee support and the bill's annual tradition contrast with these internal divisions and competing legislative priorities, producing closely balanced trader odds near 50 percent. Floor passage by July 31 would likely hinge on leadership negotiations to secure a rule, amendment strategies, and turnout among rank-and-file members wary of specific provisions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026 by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must set forth policies and authorities for Fiscal Year 2026 for Department of Defense programs and activities.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026 by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must set forth policies and authorities for Fiscal Year 2026 for Department of Defense programs and activities. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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"Will the US House pass the NDAA by July 31?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 50% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 50¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 50% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Will the US House pass the NDAA by July 31?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jul 1, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

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Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Will the US House pass the NDAA by July 31?" to 50% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 50% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

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